ReviewEvolutionary applications2023
Towards evolutionary predictions: Current promises and challenges.
Review in Evolutionary applications, 2023. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 38 papers.
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The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.
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Who cites it
38 citing papers in PubMed.
- Beyond two alleles: multiallelic genotypic selection and its estimation from time-series data.BMC genomics · 2026Article
- Predictive evolutionary genomics: principles, validation, and practice.The New phytologist · 2026Review
- Article
- Evolutionary adaptation proceeds through a small number of phenotypic modules.Molecular biology and evolution · 2026Article
- Additive effects of environmental and demographic variation shape the repeatability of evolution across replicated experiments.Evolution letters · 2026Article
- Evolutionary Footprint: A Systemic Indicator in Evolution, Ecology and Conservation.Evolutionary applications · 2026Article
- Forecasting Multitrait Resistance Evolution under Antibiotic Stress.Molecular biology and evolution · 2026Article
- Origins and breadth of pairwise epistasis in an α-helix of β-lactamase TEM-1.Nature communications · 2026Article
- Cave evolution on repeat: reuse of the same genomic regions across lineages but not across traits inbioRxiv : the preprint server for biology · 2026Article
- Using TraDIS as a complementary approach to long term evolution for mapping adaptive mutations in Escherichia coli.PLoS genetics · 2026Article
- An empirical long-term competition among natural yeast isolates reveals that short-term fitness largely but not entirely predicts long-term outcomes.bioRxiv : the preprint server for biology · 2025Article
- Compensatory evolution to DNA replication stress is robust to nutrient availability.Molecular systems biology · 2025Article
- Article
- Founders predict trait evolution and population performance after evolutionary rescue in the red flour beetle.Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America · 2025Article
- Evolution and evolvability of rifampicin resistance across the bacterial tree of life.Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America · 2025Article
- Implications From the Analogous Relationship Between Evolutionary and Learning Processes.BioEssays : news and reviews in molecular, cellular and developmental biology · 2025Review
- Mutation bias alters the distribution of fitness effects of mutations.PLoS biology · 2025Article
- Transition Processes in Technological Systems: Inspiration from Processes in Biological Evolution.Biomimetics (Basel, Switzerland) · 2025Article
- Coevolutionary history of predation constrains the evolvability of antibiotic resistance in prey bacteria.npj antimicrobials and resistance · 2025Article
- Repeatability of evolution and genomic predictions of temperature adaptation in seed beetles.Nature ecology & evolution · 2025Article
Corrections and comments
PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.
Authors and funding
36 authors.
Funding
Abstract
Evolution has traditionally been a historical and descriptive science, and predicting future evolutionary processes has long been considered impossible. However, evolutionary predictions are increasingly being developed and used in medicine, agriculture, biotechnology and conservation biology. Evolutionary predictions may be used for different purposes, such as to prepare for the future, to try and change the course of evolution or to determine how well we understand evolutionary processes. Similarly, the exact aspect of the evolved population that we want to predict may also differ. For example, we could try to predict which genotype will dominate, the fitness of the population or the extinction probability of a population. In addition, there are many uses of evolutionary predictions that may not always be recognized as such. The main goal of this review is to increase awareness of methods and data in different research fields by showing the breadth of situations in which evolutionary predictions are made. We describe how diverse evolutionary predictions share a common structure described by the predictive scope, time scale and precision. Then, by using examples ranging from SARS-CoV2 and influenza to CRISPR-based gene drives and sustainable product formation in biotechnology, we discuss the methods for predicting evolution, the factors that affect predictability and how predictions can be used to prevent evolution in undesirable directions or to promote beneficial evolution (i.e. evolutionary control). We hope that this review will stimulate collaboration between fields by establishing a common language for evolutionary predictions.
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Registered trials
Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.