Evidence map›Paper›PMID 36696387›Full record

ArticlePloS one2023

External validation of VO2max prediction models based on recreational and elite endurance athletes.

Szczepan Wiecha, Przemysław Seweryn Kasiak, Igor Cieśliński, Tim Takken, Tomasz Palka, Beat Knechtle, Pantelis Τ Nikolaidis, Łukasz A Małek, Marek Postuła, Artur Mamcarz and 1 more

Open access · goldAbstract read
In one paragraph

Article in PloS one, 2023. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 21 papers, 2 of them syntheses that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
21citing papers in PubMed, 2 pooled it
13.9field-weighted citation impact, top 1% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

21 citing papers in PubMed, 2 syntheses or guidelines pooled it, 35 citations in OpenAlex.

  1. Pooled it
  2. Pooled it
  3. VOeLife · 2023
    Trial
  4. Article
  5. Review
  6. Review
  7. Exploring Methods of Adjusting VOObesity science & practice · 2025
    Article
  8. Direct Versus Indirect Submaximal VOJournal of functional morphology and kinesiology · 2025
    Article
  9. Article
  10. Nonexercise Estimation of V̇OEuropean journal of sport science · 2025
    Article
  11. V̇OInternational journal of obesity (2005) · 2025
    Article
  12. Review
  13. Article
  14. Review
  15. Article
  16. Article
  17. Article
  18. Article
  19. Comparison of VOSports (Basel, Switzerland) · 2023
    Article
  20. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

11 authors at 7 institutions in 4 countries.

Szczepan WiechaFaculty in Biala Podlaska, Department of Physical Education and Health, Jozef Pilsudski University of Physical Education in Warsaw, Biala Podlaska, Poland.ORCID 0000-0001-9458-557X
Przemysław Seweryn Kasiak3rd Department of Internal Medicine and Cardiology, Students' Scientific Group of Lifestyle Medicine, Medical University of Warsaw, Warsaw, Poland.ORCID 0000-0002-0303-6135
Igor CieślińskiFaculty in Biala Podlaska, Department of Physical Education and Health, Jozef Pilsudski University of Physical Education in Warsaw, Biala Podlaska, Poland.
Tim TakkenDepartment of Medical Physiology, Child Development & Exercise Center, Wilhelmina Children's Hospital, UMC Utrecht, Utrecht, The Netherlands.
Tomasz PalkaFaculty of Physical Education and Sport, Department of Physiology and Biochemistry, University of Physical Education in Krakow, Krakow, Poland.
Beat KnechtleInstitute of Primary Care, University of Zurich, Zurich, Switzerland.
Pantelis Τ NikolaidisSchool of Health and Caring Sciences, University of West Attica, Athens, Greece.
Łukasz A MałekDepartment of Epidemiology, Cardiovascular Disease Prevention and Health Promotion, National Institute of Cardiology, Warsaw, Poland.
Marek PostułaDepartment of Experimental and Clinical Pharmacology, Centre for Preclinical Research and Technology, Medical University of Warsaw, Warsaw, Poland.
Artur Mamcarz3rd Department of Internal Medicine and Cardiology, Medical University of Warsaw, Warsaw, Poland.
Daniel Śliż3rd Department of Internal Medicine and Cardiology, Medical University of Warsaw, Warsaw, Poland.ORCID 0000-0001-5917-8119
Medical University of Warsaw · PLJózef Piłsudski University of Physical Education in Warsaw · PLInstitute of Cardiology · PLUniversity Medical Center Utrecht · NLUniversity of West Attica · GRUniversity of Zurich · CHUniversity School of Physical Education in Kraków · PL

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

In recent years, numerous prognostic models have been developed to predict VO2max. Nevertheless, their accuracy in endurance athletes (EA) stays mostly unvalidated. This study aimed to compare predicted VO2max (pVO2max) with directly measured VO2max by assessing the transferability of the currently available prediction models based on their R2, calibration-in-the-large, and calibration slope. 5,260 healthy adult EA underwent a maximal exertion cardiopulmonary exercise test (CPET) (84.76% male; age 34.6±9.5 yrs.; VO2max 52.97±7.39 mL·min-1·kg-1, BMI 23.59±2.73 kg·m-2). 13 models have been selected to establish pVO2max. Participants were classified into four endurance subgroups (high-, recreational-, low- trained, and "transition") and four age subgroups (18-30, 31-45, 46-60, and ≥61 yrs.). Validation was performed according to TRIPOD guidelines. pVO2max was low-to-moderately associated with direct CPET measurements (p>0.05). Models with the highest accuracy were for males on a cycle ergometer (CE) (Kokkinos R2 = 0.64), females on CE (Kokkinos R2 = 0.65), males on a treadmill (TE) (Wasserman R2 = 0.26), females on TE (Wasserman R2 = 0.30). However, selected models underestimated pVO2max for younger and higher trained EA and overestimated for older and lower trained EA. All equations demonstrated merely moderate accuracy and should only be used as a supplemental method for physicians to estimate CRF in EA. It is necessary to derive new models on EA populations to include routinely in clinical practice and sports diagnostic.

Indexed as

Oxygen ConsumptionSportsAdultAthletesExercise TestFemaleHumansMaleMiddle AgedNutritional Status

Identifiers

PMID36696387
PMCPMC9876283
OpenAlexW4317988076

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
LicenceCC BY
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.