Evidence map›Paper›PMID 36686219›Full record

ArticleThe annals of applied statistics2022

CRITICAL WINDOW VARIABLE SELECTION FOR MIXTURES: ESTIMATING THE IMPACT OF MULTIPLE AIR POLLUTANTS ON STILLBIRTH.

Joshua L Warren, Howard H Chang, Lauren K Warren, Matthew J Strickland, Lyndsey A Darrow, James A Mulholland

Open access · greenAbstract read
In one paragraph

Article in The annals of applied statistics, 2022. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 11 papers, 1 of them a synthesis that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
11citing papers in PubMed, 1 pooled it
1.1field-weighted citation impact, top 27% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

11 citing papers in PubMed, 1 synthesis or guideline pooled it, 10 citations in OpenAlex.

  1. Acute association between heatwaves and stillbirth in six US states.Environmental health : a global access science source · 2022
    Pooled it
  2. Multi-Tree Model for Precision Environmental Health with Longitudinally Assessed Mixture Exposure.Journal of the Royal Statistical Society. Series C, Applied statistics · 2026
    Article
  3. Workflow for Statistical Analysis of Environmental Mixtures.Environmental health perspectives · 2026
    Review
  4. Article
  5. Article
  6. Article
  7. Environmental Mixtures Analysis (E-MIX) Workflow and Methods Repository.medRxiv : the preprint server for health sciences · 2024
    Article
  8. Article
  9. Article
  10. Article
  11. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

6 authors at 5 institutions in 1 country.

Joshua L WarrenDepartment of Biostatistics, Yale University.
Howard H ChangDepartment of Biostatistics and Bioninformatics, Emory University.
Lauren K WarrenRTI International.
Matthew J StricklandSchool of Public Health, University of Nevada.
Lyndsey A DarrowSchool of Public Health, University of Nevada.
James A MulhollandSchool of Civil and Environmental Engineering, Georgia Institute of Technology.
University of Nevada, Reno · USEmory University · USGeorgia Institute of Technology · USRTI International · USYale University · US

Funding

Extreme heat events and pregnancy duration: a national studyR01ES028346 · NIEHS · EMORY UNIVERSITY · PI CHANG, HOWARD H, DARROW, LYNDSEY · 2018 to 2024
$2.7M
Data Integration Methods for Environmental Exposures with Applications to Air Pollution and Asthma MorbidityR01ES027892 · NIEHS · EMORY UNIVERSITY · PI CHANG, HOWARD H · 2017 to 2021
$2.7M
NIEHS NIH HHS R01 ES027892NIEHS NIH HHS R01 ES028346
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Understanding the role of time-varying pollution mixtures on human health is critical as people are simultaneously exposed to multiple pollutants during their lives. For vulnerable subpopulations who have well-defined exposure periods (e.g., pregnant women), questions regarding critical windows of exposure to these mixtures are important for mitigating harm. We extend critical window variable selection (CWVS) to the multipollutant setting by introducing CWVS for mixtures (CWVSmix), a hierarchical Bayesian method that combines smoothed variable selection and temporally correlated weight parameters to: (i) identify critical windows of exposure to mixtures of time-varying pollutants, (ii) estimate the time-varying relative importance of each individual pollutant and their first order interactions within the mixture, and (iii) quantify the impact of the mixtures on health. Through simulation we show that CWVSmix offers the best balance of performance in each of these categories in comparison to competing methods. Using these approaches, we investigate the impact of exposure to multiple ambient air pollutants on the risk of stillbirth in New Jersey, 2005-2014. We find consistent elevated risk in gestational weeks 2, 16-17, and 20 for non-Hispanic Black mothers, with pollution mixtures dominated by ammonium (weeks 2, 17, 20), nitrate (weeks 2, 17), nitrogen oxides (weeks 2, 16), PM

Indexed as

Bayesian variable selectioncorrelated weightsmultivariate latent variablespollution mixturesreproductive health

Identifiers

PMID36686219
PMCPMC9854390
OpenAlexW3152574996

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
LicenceTDM
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.