Evidence map›Paper›PMID 36680165›Full record

Observational studyViruses2022

Clinical Severity in Different Waves of SARS-CoV-2 Infection in Sicily: A Model of Smith's "Law of Declining Virulence" from Real-World Data.

Emanuele Amodio, Dario Genovese, Alessandra Fallucca, Patrizia Ferro, Benedetta Sparacia, Luciano D'Azzo, Angelo Fertitta, Carmelo Massimo Maida, Francesco Vitale

Abstract readObservational Study
In one paragraph

Observational study in Viruses, 2022. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 8 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
8citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

8 citing papers in PubMed.

  1. Article
  2. Article
  3. Infection with COVID-19 Complicated by Sinus Arrest.Case reports in infectious diseases · 2024
    Article
  4. Article
  5. Article
  6. Article
  7. Article
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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

9 authors.

Emanuele AmodioDepartment of Health Promotion, Mother and Child Care, Internal Medicine and Medical Specialties "G. D'Alessandro", University of Palermo, Via del Vespro 133, 90127 Palermo, Italy.ORCID 0000-0001-5482-5268
Dario GenoveseDepartment of Health Promotion, Mother and Child Care, Internal Medicine and Medical Specialties "G. D'Alessandro", University of Palermo, Via del Vespro 133, 90127 Palermo, Italy.ORCID 0000-0001-6977-9268
Alessandra FalluccaDepartment of Health Promotion, Mother and Child Care, Internal Medicine and Medical Specialties "G. D'Alessandro", University of Palermo, Via del Vespro 133, 90127 Palermo, Italy.
Patrizia FerroDepartment of Health Promotion, Mother and Child Care, Internal Medicine and Medical Specialties "G. D'Alessandro", University of Palermo, Via del Vespro 133, 90127 Palermo, Italy.
Benedetta SparaciaDepartment of Health Promotion, Mother and Child Care, Internal Medicine and Medical Specialties "G. D'Alessandro", University of Palermo, Via del Vespro 133, 90127 Palermo, Italy.
Luciano D'AzzoDepartment of Health Promotion, Mother and Child Care, Internal Medicine and Medical Specialties "G. D'Alessandro", University of Palermo, Via del Vespro 133, 90127 Palermo, Italy.
Angelo FertittaDepartment of Health Promotion, Mother and Child Care, Internal Medicine and Medical Specialties "G. D'Alessandro", University of Palermo, Via del Vespro 133, 90127 Palermo, Italy.
Carmelo Massimo MaidaDepartment of Health Promotion, Mother and Child Care, Internal Medicine and Medical Specialties "G. D'Alessandro", University of Palermo, Via del Vespro 133, 90127 Palermo, Italy.ORCID 0000-0002-6989-9259
Francesco VitaleDepartment of Health Promotion, Mother and Child Care, Internal Medicine and Medical Specialties "G. D'Alessandro", University of Palermo, Via del Vespro 133, 90127 Palermo, Italy.

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundThe COVID-19 epidemic had a rapid spread worldwide with a continuous and fast mutation of the virus, resulting in the emergence of several variants of concern (VOC). The aim of this study was to evaluate the severity of each VOC among SARS-CoV-2 infected subjects by investigating deaths, ICU admissions, intubations, and severe critical symptoms.

methodsAn ecological observational study was performed to evaluate mortality rates and clinical characteristics of 321,490 unvaccinated Sicilian SARS-CoV-2 cases observed from 2 March 2020 to 27 March 2022. Odds ratios (OR) and 95% confidence intervals (CI) were calculated by multivariate logistic regression analysis evaluating factors determining a clinical worsening.

resultsDelta (adj-OR 3.00, 95% Cls 2.70-3.33) and wild-type (adj-OR 2.41, 95% Cls 2.2-2.62) variants had a higher risk than the Omicron strain for developing critical COVID-19 necessitating intubation and eventually undergoing death. Moreover, males appeared to be significantly more susceptible to developing the worst clinical outcome considered, as did older subjects.

conclusionsThe present study provides evidence of factors implicated in the worsening of SARS-CoV-2-infection-related clinical outcomes. The study highlighted the different roles of VOC, in particular Delta and wild-type, and being male and elderly in the development of a worse clinical outcome.

Indexed as

COVID-19EpidemicsAgedFemaleHumansMaleSARS-CoV-2SicilyVirulenceclinical outcomesCOVID-19epidemiologyhealth careoutcome assessmentpublic healthSARS-CoV-2

Identifiers

PMID36680165
PMCPMC9867301

What OpenQuestion holds

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LicenceCC BY
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Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.