Evidence map›Paper›PMID 36679990›Full record

ArticleVaccines2023

Role of Vaccines in Controlling the Spread of COVID-19: A Fractional-Order Model.

Isa Abdullahi Baba, Usa Wannasingha Humphries, Fathalla A Rihan

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Vaccines, 2023. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 6 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
6citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

6 citing papers in PubMed.

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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

3 authors.

Isa Abdullahi BabaDepartment of Mathematics, Bayero University, Kano 700006, Nigeria.ORCID 0000-0001-8817-1784
Usa Wannasingha HumphriesDepartment of Mathematics, Faculty of Science, King Mongkuts University of Science and Technology Thonburi (KMUTT), Bangkok 10140, Thailand.
Fathalla A RihanDepartment of Mathematical Sciences, College of Science, UAE University, Al Ain 15551, United Arab Emirates.ORCID 0000-0003-3855-5944

Funding

King Mongkut's University of Technology Thonburi 2566
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

In this paper, we present a fractional-order mathematical model in the Caputo sense to investigate the significance of vaccines in controlling COVID-19. The Banach contraction mapping principle is used to prove the existence and uniqueness of the solution. Based on the magnitude of the basic reproduction number, we show that the model consists of two equilibrium solutions that are stable. The disease-free and endemic equilibrium points are locally stably when R0<1 and R0>1 respectively. We perform numerical simulations, with the significance of the vaccine clearly shown. The changes that occur due to the variation of the fractional order α are also shown. The model has been validated by fitting it to four months of real COVID-19 infection data in Thailand. Predictions for a longer period are provided by the model, which provides a good fit for the data.

Indexed as

COVID-19existence and uniquenessfractional calculusmathematical modelstability analysisvaccine

Identifiers

PMID36679990
PMCPMC9861806

What OpenQuestion holds

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LicenceCC BY
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.