Evidence map›Paper›PMID 36670450›Full record

SynthesisCritical care (London, England)2023

Prognostic models for outcome prediction following in-hospital cardiac arrest using pre-arrest factors: a systematic review, meta-analysis and critical appraisal.

Casey Grandbois van Ravenhorst, Marc Schluep, Henrik Endeman, Robert-Jan Stolker, Sanne Elisabeth Hoeks

Open access · goldAbstract readSystematic ReviewMeta-Analysis
In one paragraph

Synthesis in Critical care (London, England), 2023. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 12 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
12citing papers in PubMed
7.0field-weighted citation impact, top 3% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

12 citing papers in PubMed, 20 citations in OpenAlex.

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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

5 authors at 1 institution in 1 country.

Casey Grandbois van RavenhorstDepartment of Anaesthesia, Erasmus University Medical Centre, Room Na-1718, P.O. Box 2040, 3000 CA, Rotterdam, The Netherlands. c.grandboisvanravenhorst@erasmusmc.nl.
Marc SchluepDepartment of Anaesthesia, Erasmus University Medical Centre, Room Na-1718, P.O. Box 2040, 3000 CA, Rotterdam, The Netherlands.
Henrik EndemanDepartment of Intensive Care Medicine, Erasmus University Medical Centre, Rotterdam, The Netherlands.
Robert-Jan StolkerDepartment of Anaesthesia, Erasmus University Medical Centre, Room Na-1718, P.O. Box 2040, 3000 CA, Rotterdam, The Netherlands.
Sanne Elisabeth HoeksDepartment of Anaesthesia, Erasmus University Medical Centre, Room Na-1718, P.O. Box 2040, 3000 CA, Rotterdam, The Netherlands.
Erasmus University Rotterdam · NL

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundSeveral prediction models of survival after in-hospital cardiac arrest (IHCA) have been published, but no overview of model performance and external validation exists. We performed a systematic review of the available prognostic models for outcome prediction of attempted resuscitation for IHCA using pre-arrest factors to enhance clinical decision-making through improved outcome prediction.

methodsThis systematic review followed the CHARMS and PRISMA guidelines. Medline, Embase, Web of Science were searched up to October 2021. Studies developing, updating or validating a prediction model with pre-arrest factors for any potential clinical outcome of attempted resuscitation for IHCA were included. Studies were appraised critically according to the PROBAST checklist. A random-effects meta-analysis was performed to pool AUROC values of externally validated models.

resultsOut of 2678 initial articles screened, 33 studies were included in this systematic review: 16 model development studies, 5 model updating studies and 12 model validation studies. The most frequently included pre-arrest factors included age, functional status, (metastatic) malignancy, heart disease, cerebrovascular events, respiratory, renal or hepatic insufficiency, hypotension and sepsis. Only six of the developed models have been independently validated in external populations. The GO-FAR score showed the best performance with a pooled AUROC of 0.78 (95% CI 0.69-0.85), versus 0.59 (95%CI 0.50-0.68) for the PAM and 0.62 (95% CI 0.49-0.74) for the PAR.

conclusionsSeveral prognostic models for clinical outcome after attempted resuscitation for IHCA have been published. Most have a moderate risk of bias and have not been validated externally. The GO-FAR score showed the most acceptable performance. Future research should focus on updating existing models for use in clinical settings, specifically pre-arrest counselling. Systematic review registration PROSPERO CRD42021269235. Registered 21 July 2021.

Indexed as

Cardiopulmonary ResuscitationHeart ArrestForecastingHospitalsHumansPrognosisCardiopulmonary resuscitationClinical outcomeIn-hospital cardiac arrestPrognostic model

Identifiers

PMID36670450
PMCPMC9862512
OpenAlexW4317600539

What OpenQuestion holds

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Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.