Evidence map›Paper›PMID 36669704›Full record

ArticleJournal of hepatology2023

Modelling the potential effectiveness of hepatitis C screening and treatment strategies during pregnancy in Egypt and Ukraine.

Nadia Hachicha-Maalej, Intira Jeannie Collins, Anthony E Ades, Karen Scott, Ali Judd, Aya Mostafa, Elizabeth Chappell, Manal Hamdy-El-Sayed, Diana Gibb, Sarah Pett and 4 more

Erratum issuedOpen access · hybridAbstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Journal of hepatology, 2023. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. An erratum has been issued. Cited by 2 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
2citing papers in PubMed
0.6field-weighted citation impact, top 34% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

2 citing papers in PubMed, 3 citations in OpenAlex.

  1. Article
  2. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

14 authors at 7 institutions in 4 countries.

Nadia Hachicha-MaalejUniversité Paris Cité and Université Sorbonne Paris Nord, Inserm, IAME, F-75018 Paris, France. Electronic address: nadia.hachicha@inserm.fr.
Intira Jeannie CollinsMRC Clinical Trials Unit at UCL, Institute of Clinical Trials & Methodology, London, UK.
Anthony E AdesPopulation Health Sciences, University of Bristol Medical School, Bristol, UK.
Karen ScottMRC Clinical Trials Unit at UCL, Institute of Clinical Trials & Methodology, London, UK.
Ali JuddMRC Clinical Trials Unit at UCL, Institute of Clinical Trials & Methodology, London, UK.
Aya MostafaDepartment of Community, Environmental, and Occupational Medicine, Faculty of Medicine, Ain Shams University, Cairo, Egypt.
Elizabeth ChappellMRC Clinical Trials Unit at UCL, Institute of Clinical Trials & Methodology, London, UK.
Manal Hamdy-El-SayedDepartment of Community, Environmental, and Occupational Medicine, Faculty of Medicine, Ain Shams University, Cairo, Egypt.
Diana GibbMRC Clinical Trials Unit at UCL, Institute of Clinical Trials & Methodology, London, UK.
Sarah PettMRC Clinical Trials Unit at UCL, Institute of Clinical Trials & Methodology, London, UK; Institute for Global Health, University College London, London, UK.
Eugènia Mariné-BarjoanDépartement de Santé Publique/Pôle Référence Hépatite C, CHU Nice, Nice, France.
Alla VolokhaDepartment of Paediatric Infectious Diseases and Paediatric Immunology, Shupyk National Healthcare University of Ukraine, Kyiv, Ukraine.
Yazdan YazdanpanahUniversité Paris Cité and Université Sorbonne Paris Nord, Inserm, IAME, F-75018 Paris, France; Service de Maladies Infectieuses et Tropicales, Hôpital Bichat-Claude Bernard, F-75018 Paris, France.
Sylvie Deuffic-BurbanUniversité Paris Cité and Université Sorbonne Paris Nord, Inserm, IAME, F-75018 Paris, France. Electronic address: sylvie.burban@inserm.fr.
MRC Clinical Trials Unit at UCL · GBAin Shams University · EGDélégation Paris 5 · FRInserm · FRShupyk National Healthcare University of Ukraine · UAUniversité Claude Bernard Lyon 1 · FRUniversity of Bristol · GB

Funding

Medical Research Council MC_UU_00004/03Medical Research Council MC_UU_12023/26Medical Research Council MR/R019746/1
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

BACKGROUND &

aimsHCV test and treat campaigns currently exclude pregnant women. Pregnancy offers a unique opportunity for HCV screening and to potentially initiate direct-acting antiviral treatment. We explored HCV screening and treatment strategies in two lower middle-income countries with high HCV prevalence, Egypt and Ukraine.

methodsCountry-specific probabilistic decision models were developed to simulate a cohort of pregnant women. We compared five strategies: S0, targeted risk-based screening and deferred treatment (DT) to after pregnancy/breastfeeding; S1, World Health Organization (WHO) risk-based screening and DT; S2, WHO risk-based screening and targeted treatment (treat women with risk factors for HCV vertical transmission [VT]); S3, universal screening and targeted treatment during pregnancy; S4, universal screening and treatment. Maternal and infant HCV outcomes were projected.

resultsS0 resulted in the highest proportion of women undiagnosed: 59% and 20% in Egypt and Ukraine, respectively, with 0% maternal cure by delivery and VT estimated at 6.5% and 7.9%, respectively. WHO risk-based screening and DT (S1) increased the proportion of women diagnosed with no change in maternal cure or VT. Universal screening and treatment during pregnancy (S4) resulted in the highest proportion of women diagnosed and cured by delivery (65% and 70%, respectively), and lower levels of VT (3.4% and 3.6%, respectively).

conclusionsThis is one of the first models to explore HCV screening and treatment strategies in pregnancy, which will be critical in informing future care and policy as more safety/efficacy data emerge. Universal screening and treatment in pregnancy could potentially improve both maternal and infant outcomes. IMPACT AND IMPLICATIONS: In the context of two lower middle-income countries with high HCV burdens (Egypt and Ukraine), we designed a decision analytic model to explore five different HCV testing and treatment strategies for pregnant women, with the assumption that treatment was safe and efficacious for use in pregnancy. Assuming direct-acting antiviral treatment during pregnancy would reduce vertical transmission, our findings indicate that the provision of universal (rather than risk-based targeted) screening and treatment would provide the greatest maternal and infant benefits. While future trials are needed to assess the safety and efficacy of direct-acting antivirals in pregnancy and their impact on vertical transmission, there is increasing recognition that the elimination of HCV cannot leave entire subpopulations of pregnant women and young children behind. Our findings will be critical for policymakers when developing improved screening and treatment recommendations for pregnant women.

Indexed as

Hepatitis CHepatitis C, ChronicPregnancy Complications, InfectiousAntiviral AgentsChildChild, PreschoolEgyptFemaleHumansInfectious Disease Transmission, VerticalMass ScreeningPregnancyUkraineAntiviral AgentsDAA treatmenteffectivenessHCV screeningmodellingpregnancyvertical transmission

Identifiers

PMID36669704
PMCPMC7616347
OpenAlexW4317214713

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
LicenceCC BY
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.