Evidence map›Paper›PMID 36662880›Full record

ArticlePloS one2023

Ecological-niche modeling reveals current opportunities for Agave dryland farming in Sonora, Mexico and Arizona, USA.

Hector G Ortiz Cano, Robert Hadfield, Teresa Gomez, Kevin Hultine, Ricardo Mata Gonzalez, Steven L Petersen, Neil C Hansen, Michael T Searcy, Jason Stetler, Teodoro Cervantes Mendívil and 3 more

Erratum issuedAbstract read
In one paragraph

Article in PloS one, 2023. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. An erratum has been issued. Cited by 1 paper.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
1citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

1 citing paper in PubMed.

  1. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

13 authors.

Hector G Ortiz CanoThe Holden Arboretum, Kirtland, Ohio, United States of America.
Robert HadfieldThe Holden Arboretum, Kirtland, Ohio, United States of America.ORCID 0000-0001-7838-3353
Teresa GomezThe Holden Arboretum, Kirtland, Ohio, United States of America.
Kevin HultineDepartment of Research, Conservation and Collections, Desert Botanical Garden, Phoenix, Arizona, United States of America.
Ricardo Mata GonzalezDepartment of Animal and Rangeland Sciences, Oregon State University, Corvallis, Oregon, United States of America.
Steven L PetersenThe Holden Arboretum, Kirtland, Ohio, United States of America.
Neil C HansenThe Holden Arboretum, Kirtland, Ohio, United States of America.
Michael T SearcyDepartment of Anthropology, Brigham Young University, Provo, Utah, United States of America.
Jason StetlerThe Holden Arboretum, Kirtland, Ohio, United States of America.
Teodoro Cervantes MendívilInstituto Nacional de Investigaciones Forestales, Agrícolas y Pecuarias (INIFAP), Campo Experimental Costa de Hermosillo, Sonora, México.
David BurchfieldThe Holden Arboretum, Kirtland, Ohio, United States of America.
Pilman ParkFloriculture Research Division, National Institute of Horticulture and Herbal Sciences, Rural Development Administration, Jeonju, South Korea.
J Ryan StewartThe Holden Arboretum, Kirtland, Ohio, United States of America.ORCID 0000-0003-3841-8210

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

For centuries, humans occupying arid regions of North America have maintained an intricate relationship with Agave (Agavoideae, Asparagaceae). Today Agave cultivation, primarily for beverage production, provides an economic engine for rural communities throughout Mexico. Among known dryland-farming methods, the use of rock piles and cattle-grazed areas stand out as promising approaches for Agave cultivation. Identifying new cultivation areas to apply these approaches in Arizona, USA and Sonora, Mexico warrants a geographic assessment of areas outside the known ranges of rock piles and grasslands. The objective of this study was to predict areas for dryland-farming of Agave and develop models to identify potential areas for Agave cultivation. We used maximum entropy (MaxEnt) ecological-niche-modeling algorithms to predict suitable areas for Agave dryland farming. The model was parameterized using occurrence records of Hohokam rock piles in Arizona and grassland fields cultivated with Agave in Sonora. Ten environmental-predictor variables were used in the model, downloaded from the WorldClim 2 climate database. The model identified potential locations for using rock piles as dryland-farming methods from south-central Arizona to northwestern Sonora. The Agave-grassland model indicated that regions from central to southern Sonora have the highest potential for cultivation of Agave, particularly for the species Agave angustifolia. Results suggest that there are many suitable areas where rock piles can be used to cultivate Agave in the Sonoran Desert, particularly in the border of southeastern Arizona and northwest Sonora. Likewise, cattle-grazing grasslands provide a viable environment for cultivating Agave in southern Sonora, where the expanding bacanora-beverage industry continues to grow and where different Agave products (e.g., syrups, fructans, saponins, and medicinal compounds) can potentially strengthen local economies.

Indexed as

AgaveAsparagaceaeAgricultureAnimalsArizonaCattleDesert ClimateHumansMexico

Identifiers

PMID36662880
PMCPMC9858763

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
LicenceCC BY
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.