Evidence map›Paper›PMID 36658689›Full record

ArticleThe Journal of clinical endocrinology and metabolism2023

Cross-sectionally Calculated Metabolic Aging Does Not Relate to Longitudinal Metabolic Changes-Support for Stratified Aging Models.

Mika Ala-Korpela, Terho Lehtimäki, Mika Kähönen, Jorma Viikari, Markus Perola, Veikko Salomaa, Johannes Kettunen, Olli T Raitakari, Ville-Petteri Mäkinen

Open access · hybridAbstract read
In one paragraph

Article in The Journal of clinical endocrinology and metabolism, 2023. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 11 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
11citing papers in PubMed
2.4field-weighted citation impact, top 13% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

11 citing papers in PubMed, 15 citations in OpenAlex.

  1. Review
  2. Review
  3. Metabolomic-based aging clocks.npj metabolic health and disease · 2025
    Review
  4. Article
  5. Article
  6. Article
  7. Article
  8. Article
  9. Article
  10. NMR metabolomic modelling of age and lifespan: a multi-cohort analysis.medRxiv : the preprint server for health sciences · 2023
    Article
  11. Observational
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

9 authors at 6 institutions in 3 countries.

Mika Ala-KorpelaSystems Epidemiology, Faculty of Medicine, Center for Life Course Health Research, University of Oulu, Oulu 90014, Finland.ORCID 0000-0001-5905-1206
Terho LehtimäkiDepartment of Clinical Chemistry, Faculty of Medicine and Health Technology, Fimlab Laboratories, and Finnish Cardiovascular Research Center Tampere, Tampere University, Tampere 33100, Finland.
Mika KähönenDepartment of Clinical Physiology, Faculty of Medicine and Health Technology, Tampere University Hospital, and Finnish Cardiovascular Research Center Tampere, Tampere University, Tampere 33100, Finland.ORCID 0000-0002-4510-7341
Jorma ViikariDepartment of Medicine, University of Turku, Turku 20520, Finland.
Markus PerolaDepartment of Public Health and Welfare, Finnish Institute for Health and Welfare, Helsinki 00271, Finland.ORCID 0000-0003-4842-1667
Veikko SalomaaDepartment of Public Health and Welfare, Finnish Institute for Health and Welfare, Helsinki 00271, Finland.ORCID 0000-0001-7563-5324
Johannes KettunenSystems Epidemiology, Faculty of Medicine, Center for Life Course Health Research, University of Oulu, Oulu 90014, Finland.
Olli T RaitakariResearch Centre of Applied and Preventive Cardiovascular Medicine, University of Turku, Turku 20520, Finland.
Ville-Petteri MäkinenSystems Epidemiology, Faculty of Medicine, Center for Life Course Health Research, University of Oulu, Oulu 90014, Finland.ORCID 0000-0002-7262-2656
Finnish Institute for Health and Welfare · FIUniversity of Turku · FITampere University · FITampere University Hospital · FIUniversity of Eastern Finland · FIUniversity of South Australia · AU

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

contextAging varies between individuals, with profound consequences for chronic diseases and longevity. One hypothesis to explain the diversity is a genetically regulated molecular clock that runs differently between individuals. Large human studies with long enough follow-up to test the hypothesis are rare due to practical challenges, but statistical models of aging are built as proxies for the molecular clock by comparing young and old individuals cross-sectionally. These models remain untested against longitudinal data.

objectiveWe applied novel methodology to test if cross-sectional modeling can distinguish slow vs accelerated aging in a human population.

methodsWe trained a machine learning model to predict age from 153 clinical and cardiometabolic traits. The model was tested against longitudinal data from another cohort. The training data came from cross-sectional surveys of the Finnish population (n = 9708; ages 25-74 years). The validation data included 3 time points across 10 years in the Young Finns Study (YFS; n = 1009; ages 24-49 years). Predicted metabolic age in 2007 was compared against observed aging rate from the 2001 visit to the 2011 visit in the YFS dataset and correlation between predicted vs observed metabolic aging was determined.

resultsThe cross-sectional proxy failed to predict longitudinal observations (R2 = 0.018%, P = 0.67).

conclusionThe finding is unexpected under the clock hypothesis that would produce a positive correlation between predicted and observed aging. Our results are better explained by a stratified model where aging rates per se are similar in adulthood but differences in starting points explain diverging metabolic fates.

Indexed as

AgingLongevityCross-Sectional StudiesHumansLongitudinal StudiesModels, Statisticalbiological agechronological ageepidemiologymetabolic agingmetabolomicsmolecular clocksstratified aging model

Identifiers

PMID36658689
PMCPMC10348460
OpenAlexW4317568237

What OpenQuestion holds

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LicenceCC BY
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Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.