Evidence map›Paper›PMID 36654885›Full record

ArticleInternational journal of cardiology. Heart & vasculature2023

Cardiovascular events and artificial intelligence-predicted age using 12-lead electrocardiograms.

Naomi Hirota, Shinya Suzuki, Jun Motogi, Hiroshi Nakai, Wataru Matsuzawa, Tsuneo Takayanagi, Takuya Umemoto, Akira Hyodo, Keiichi Satoh, Takuto Arita and 3 more

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in International journal of cardiology. Heart & vasculature, 2023. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 13 papers, 1 of them a synthesis that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
13citing papers in PubMed, 1 pooled it
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

13 citing papers in PubMed, 1 synthesis or guideline pooled it.

  1. Pooled it
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  8. Review
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  11. What Else Can AI See in a Digital ECG?Journal of personalized medicine · 2023
    Review
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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

13 authors.

Naomi HirotaDepartment of Cardiovascular Medicine, The Cardiovascular Institute, Tokyo, Japan.
Shinya SuzukiDepartment of Cardiovascular Medicine, The Cardiovascular Institute, Tokyo, Japan.
Jun MotogiNihon Kohden Corporation, Tokyo, Japan.
Hiroshi NakaiInformation System Division, The Cardiovascular Institute, Tokyo, Japan.
Wataru MatsuzawaNihon Kohden Corporation, Tokyo, Japan.
Tsuneo TakayanagiNihon Kohden Corporation, Tokyo, Japan.
Takuya UmemotoNihon Kohden Corporation, Tokyo, Japan.
Akira HyodoNihon Kohden Corporation, Tokyo, Japan.
Keiichi SatohNihon Kohden Corporation, Tokyo, Japan.
Takuto AritaDepartment of Cardiovascular Medicine, The Cardiovascular Institute, Tokyo, Japan.
Naoharu YagiDepartment of Cardiovascular Medicine, The Cardiovascular Institute, Tokyo, Japan.
Takayuki OtsukaDepartment of Cardiovascular Medicine, The Cardiovascular Institute, Tokyo, Japan.
Takeshi YamashitaDepartment of Cardiovascular Medicine, The Cardiovascular Institute, Tokyo, Japan.

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Background: There is increasing evidence that 12-lead electrocardiograms (ECG) can be used to predict biological age, which is associated with cardiovascular events. However, the utility of artificial intelligence (AI)-predicted age using ECGs remains unclear. Methods: Using a single-center database, we developed an AI-enabled ECG using 17 042 sinus rhythm ECGs (SR-ECG) to predict chronological age (CA) with a convolutional neural network that yields AI-predicted age. Using the 5-fold cross validation method, AI-predicted age deriving from the test dataset was yielded for all ECGs. The incidence by AgeDiff and the areas under the curve by receiver operating characteristic curve with AI-predicted age for cardiovascular events were analyzed. Results: During the mean follow-up period of 460.1 days, there were 543 cardiovascular events. The annualized incidence of cardiovascular events was 2.24 %, 2.44 %, and 3.01 %/year for patients with AgeDiff < -6, -6 to ≤6, and >6 years, respectively. The areas under the curve for cardiovascular events with CA and AI-predicted age, respectively, were 0.673 and 0.679 (Delong's test, P = 0.388) for all patients; 0.642 and 0.700 (P = 0.003) for younger patients (CA < 60 years); and 0.584 and 0.570 (P = 0.268) for older patients (CA ≥ 60 years). Conclusions: AI-predicted age using 12-lead ECGs showed superiority in predicting cardiovascular events compared with CA in younger patients, but not in older patients.

Indexed as

Artificial intelligenceBiological ageCardiovascular eventElectrocardiogram

Identifiers

PMID36654885
PMCPMC9841236

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.