Evidence map›Paper›PMID 36653446›Full record

ReviewNature reviews. Microbiology2023

SARS-CoV-2 variant biology: immune escape, transmission and fitness.

Alessandro M Carabelli, Thomas P Peacock, Lucy G Thorne, William T Harvey, Joseph Hughes, COVID-19 Genomics UK Consortium, Sharon J Peacock, Wendy S Barclay, Thushan I de Silva, Greg J Towers and 1 more

Open access · bronzeAbstract readReview
In one paragraph

Review in Nature reviews. Microbiology, 2023. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 894 papers, 1 of them a synthesis that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
894citing papers in PubMed, 1 pooled it
259.6field-weighted citation impact, top 1% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

894 citing papers in PubMed, 1 synthesis or guideline pooled it, 1,351 citations in OpenAlex.

  1. Pooled it
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  12. The other immune landscape of SARS-CoV-2 evolution.Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America · 2026
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  16. Special Issue "Antiviral Drugs Discovery".International journal of molecular sciences · 2026
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834 more citing papers are in PubMed but not listed here.

4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

11 authors at 6 institutions in 1 country.

Alessandro M Carabelli *Department of Medicine, University of Cambridge, Addenbrookes Hospital, Cambridge, UK.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0003-3625-4021
Thomas P Peacock *Department of Infectious Disease, St Mary's Medical School, Imperial College London, London, UK.
Lucy G ThorneDivision of Infection and Immunity, University College London, London, UK.
William T HarveyMRC-University of Glasgow Centre for Virus Research, University of Glasgow, Glasgow, UK.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0001-9529-1127
Joseph HughesMRC-University of Glasgow Centre for Virus Research, University of Glasgow, Glasgow, UK.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0003-2556-2563
COVID-19 Genomics UK Consortium
Sharon J PeacockDepartment of Medicine, University of Cambridge, Addenbrookes Hospital, Cambridge, UK.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0002-1718-2782
Wendy S BarclayDepartment of Infectious Disease, St Mary's Medical School, Imperial College London, London, UK.
Thushan I de SilvaDepartment of Infection, Immunity and Cardiovascular Disease, Medical School, University of Sheffield, Sheffield, UK.
Greg J TowersDivision of Infection and Immunity, University College London, London, UK.
David L RobertsonMRC-University of Glasgow Centre for Virus Research, University of Glasgow, Glasgow, UK. david.l.robertson@glasgow.ac.uk.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0001-6338-0221
MRC University of Glasgow Centre for Virus Research · GBSt Mary's Hospital · GBUniversity College London · GBUniversity of Cambridge · GBUniversity of Sheffield · GBRoslin Institute · GB

Funding

Medical Research Council MC_PC_19027Medical Research Council MC_UU_12014/12Medical Research Council MR/S023380/1Medical Research Council MR/W005611/1Wellcome Trust
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

In late 2020, after circulating for almost a year in the human population, severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2) exhibited a major step change in its adaptation to humans. These highly mutated forms of SARS-CoV-2 had enhanced rates of transmission relative to previous variants and were termed 'variants of concern' (VOCs). Designated Alpha, Beta, Gamma, Delta and Omicron, the VOCs emerged independently from one another, and in turn each rapidly became dominant, regionally or globally, outcompeting previous variants. The success of each VOC relative to the previously dominant variant was enabled by altered intrinsic functional properties of the virus and, to various degrees, changes to virus antigenicity conferring the ability to evade a primed immune response. The increased virus fitness associated with VOCs is the result of a complex interplay of virus biology in the context of changing human immunity due to both vaccination and prior infection. In this Review, we summarize the literature on the relative transmissibility and antigenicity of SARS-CoV-2 variants, the role of mutations at the furin spike cleavage site and of non-spike proteins, the potential importance of recombination to virus success, and SARS-CoV-2 evolution in the context of T cells, innate immunity and population immunity. SARS-CoV-2 shows a complicated relationship among virus antigenicity, transmission and virulence, which has unpredictable implications for the future trajectory and disease burden of COVID-19.

Indexed as

COVID-19SARS-CoV-2BiologyHumansImmunity, Innate

Identifiers

PMID36653446
PMCPMC9847462
OpenAlexW4317212025

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.