Evidence map›Paper›PMID 36650124›Full record

ArticleNature communications2023

Revised historical Northern Hemisphere black carbon emissions based on inverse modeling of ice core records.

Sabine Eckhardt, Ignacio Pisso, Nikolaos Evangeliou, Christine Groot Zwaaftink, Andreas Plach, Joseph R McConnell, Michael Sigl, Meri Ruppel, Christian Zdanowicz, Saehee Lim and 6 more

Open access · goldAbstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Nature communications, 2023. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 4 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
4citing papers in PubMed
6.9field-weighted citation impact, top 2% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

4 citing papers in PubMed, 40 citations in OpenAlex.

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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

16 authors at 10 institutions in 9 countries.

Sabine EckhardtNILU - Norwegian Institute for Air Research, Kjeller, Norway. sec@nilu.no.ORCID 0000-0001-6958-5375
Ignacio PissoNILU - Norwegian Institute for Air Research, Kjeller, Norway.
Nikolaos EvangeliouNILU - Norwegian Institute for Air Research, Kjeller, Norway.ORCID 0000-0001-7196-1018
Christine Groot ZwaaftinkNILU - Norwegian Institute for Air Research, Kjeller, Norway.
Andreas PlachDepartment of Meteorology and Geophysics, University of Vienna, Vienna, Austria.ORCID 0000-0003-4899-5871
Joseph R McConnellDivision of Hydrologic Sciences, Desert Research Institute, Reno, NV, 89512, USA.ORCID 0000-0001-9051-5240
Michael SiglEnvironmental Physics, Physics Institute, University of Bern, 3012, Bern, Switzerland.ORCID 0000-0002-9028-9703
Meri RuppelAtmospheric Composition Unit, Finnish Meteorological Institute, Helsinki, Finland.
Christian ZdanowiczDepartment of Earth Sciences, Uppsala University, Uppsala, Sweden.ORCID 0000-0002-1045-5063
Saehee LimDepartment of Environmental Engineering, Chungnam National University, Daejeon, 34134, South Korea.ORCID 0000-0003-1951-5787
Nathan ChellmanDivision of Hydrologic Sciences, Desert Research Institute, Reno, NV, 89512, USA.
Thomas OpelAlfred Wegener Institute Helmholtz Centre for Polar and Marine Research, Potsdam, Germany.ORCID 0000-0003-1315-8256
Hanno MeyerAlfred Wegener Institute Helmholtz Centre for Polar and Marine Research, Potsdam, Germany.ORCID 0000-0003-4129-4706
Jørgen Peder SteffensenNiels Bohr institute, University of Copenhagen, Copenhagen, Danmark.ORCID 0000-0002-5516-1093
Margit SchwikowskiPaul Scherrer Institut, Villigen, Switzerland.ORCID 0000-0002-0856-5183
Andreas StohlDepartment of Meteorology and Geophysics, University of Vienna, Vienna, Austria.ORCID 0000-0002-2524-5755
NILU · NOAlfred-Wegener-Institut Helmholtz-Zentrum für Polar- und Meeresforschung · DEDesert Research Institute · USUniversity of Vienna · ATChungnam National University · KRFinnish Meteorological Institute · FIPaul Scherrer Institute · CHUniversity of Bern · CHUniversity of Copenhagen · DKUppsala University · SE

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Black carbon emitted by incomplete combustion of fossil fuels and biomass has a net warming effect in the atmosphere and reduces the albedo when deposited on ice and snow; accurate knowledge of past emissions is essential to quantify and model associated global climate forcing. Although bottom-up inventories provide historical Black Carbon emission estimates that are widely used in Earth System Models, they are poorly constrained by observations prior to the late 20th century. Here we use an objective inversion technique based on detailed atmospheric transport and deposition modeling to reconstruct 1850 to 2000 emissions from thirteen Northern Hemisphere ice-core records. We find substantial discrepancies between reconstructed Black Carbon emissions and existing bottom-up inventories which do not fully capture the complex spatial-temporal emission patterns. Our findings imply changes to existing historical Black Carbon radiative forcing estimates are necessary, with potential implications for observation-constrained climate sensitivity.

Indexed as

ClimateFossil FuelsAtmosphereCarbonSootCarbonFossil FuelsSoot

Identifiers

PMID36650124
PMCPMC9845213
OpenAlexW4317039820

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
LicenceCC BY
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.