Evidence map›Paper›PMID 36643721›Full record

ArticleBJA open2022

Preoperative clinical diagnostic accuracy of heart failure among patients undergoing major noncardiac surgery: a single-centre prospective observational analysis.

Jessica R Golbus, Hyeon Joo, Allison M Janda, Michael D Maile, Keith D Aaronson, Milo C Engoren, Ruth B Cassidy, Sachin Kheterpal, Michael R Mathis, Michigan Congestive Heart Failure Investigators

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in BJA open, 2022. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 6 papers, 1 of them a synthesis that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
6citing papers in PubMed, 1 pooled it
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

6 citing papers in PubMed, 1 synthesis or guideline pooled it.

  1. Pooled it
  2. Acute heart failure in non-cardiac surgery.European heart journal · 2025
    Review
  3. Observational
  4. Observational
  5. Article
  6. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

10 authors.

Jessica R GolbusDepartment of Internal Medicine, Division of Cardiovascular Medicine, Michigan Medicine - University of Michigan, Ann Arbor, MI, USA.
Hyeon JooDepartment of Anesthesiology, Michigan Medicine - University of Michigan, Ann Arbor, MI, USA.
Allison M JandaDepartment of Anesthesiology, Michigan Medicine - University of Michigan, Ann Arbor, MI, USA.
Michael D MaileDepartment of Anesthesiology, Michigan Medicine - University of Michigan, Ann Arbor, MI, USA.
Keith D AaronsonDepartment of Internal Medicine, Division of Cardiovascular Medicine, Michigan Medicine - University of Michigan, Ann Arbor, MI, USA.
Milo C EngorenDepartment of Anesthesiology, Michigan Medicine - University of Michigan, Ann Arbor, MI, USA.
Ruth B CassidyDepartment of Anesthesiology, Michigan Medicine - University of Michigan, Ann Arbor, MI, USA.
Sachin KheterpalDepartment of Anesthesiology, Michigan Medicine - University of Michigan, Ann Arbor, MI, USA.
Michael R MathisDepartment of Anesthesiology, Michigan Medicine - University of Michigan, Ann Arbor, MI, USA.
Michigan Congestive Heart Failure Investigators

Funding

Early Diagnosis of Heart Failure: A Perioperative Data-Driven ApproachK01HL141701 · NHLBI · UNIVERSITY OF MICHIGAN AT ANN ARBOR · PI MATHIS, MICHAEL ROBERT · 2018 to 2022
$862k
NHLBI NIH HHS K01 HL141701
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Background: Reliable diagnosis of heart failure during preoperative evaluation is important for perioperative management and long-term care. We aimed to quantify preoperative heart failure diagnostic accuracy and explore characteristics of patients with heart failure misdiagnoses. Methods: We performed an observational cohort study of adults undergoing major noncardiac surgery at an academic hospital between 2015 and 2019. A preoperative clinical diagnosis of heart failure was defined using keywords from the history and clinical examination or administrative documentation. Across stratified subsamples of cases with and without clinically diagnosed heart failure, health records were intensively reviewed by an expert panel to develop an adjudicated heart failure reference standard using diagnostic criteria congruent with consensus guidelines. We calculated agreement among experts, and analysed performance of clinically diagnosed heart failure compared with the adjudicated reference standard. Results: Across 40 555 major noncardiac procedures, a stratified subsample of 511 patients was reviewed by the expert panel. The prevalence of heart failure was 9.1% based on clinically diagnosed compared with 13.3% (95% confidence interval [CI], 10.3-16.2%) estimated by the expert panel. Overall agreement and inter-rater reliability (kappa) among heart failure experts were 95% and 0.79, respectively. Based upon expert adjudication, heart failure was clinically diagnosed with an accuracy of 92.8% (90.6-95.1%), sensitivity 57.4% (53.1-61.7%), specificity 98.3% (97.1-99.4%), positive predictive value 83.5% (80.3-86.8%), and negative predictive value 93.8% (91.7-95.9%). Conclusions: Limitations exist to the preoperative clinical diagnosis of heart failure, with nearly half of cases undiagnosed preoperatively. Considering the risks of undiagnosed heart failure, efforts to improve preoperative heart failure diagnoses are warranted.

Indexed as

cardiac risk assessmentdiagnostic accuracyelectronic health recordheart failurenoncardiac surgeryobservational studypreoperative evaluation

Identifiers

PMID36643721
PMCPMC9835767

What OpenQuestion holds

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LicenceCC BY-NC-ND
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Registered trials

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.