Comprehensive analysis of an autophagy-related prognostic model for predicting survival based on TCGA and ICGC database in hepatocellular carcinoma patients.

Background: There is accumulating evidence that autophagic activity is crucial to the development of hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC). Thus, we sought to develop a predictive model based on autophagy-related genes (ARGs) to forecast the prognosis of HCC patients. Methods: Based on expression data from The Cancer Genome Atlas (TCGA) and ARGs from Human Autophagy Database (HADb), the differentially expressed ARGs were screened. The prognosis-related ARGs were identified using a univariate Cox regression analysis. Using multivariate Cox regression analysis, a prognostic model was developed. To assess the predictive value of the model, receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve, Kaplan-Meier curve, and multivariable Cox regression analyses were conducted. A data cohort gathered independently from the International Cancer Genome Consortium (ICGC) database further verified the model's predictive accuracy. The immune landscape was generated using the TIMER and CIBERSORT algorithms. Finally, the correlation between the prognostic signature and gene mutation status was analyzed by employing "maftools" package. Results: We identified a novel prediction model based on the ARGs of Conclusions: We established a robust autophagy-related risk model having a certain prediction accuracy for predicting the prognosis of HCC patients. Our findings will contribute to the definition of prognosis and establishment of personalized treatment interventions for HCC patients.