Evidence map›Paper›PMID 36631865›Full record

ArticleBMC palliative care2023

Estimation of the demand for palliative care in non-oncologic patients in Chile.

Nicolás Armijo, Tomás Abbot, Manuel Espinoza, Ximena Neculhueque, Carlos Balmaceda

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in BMC palliative care, 2023. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 8 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
8citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

8 citing papers in PubMed.

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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

5 authors.

Nicolás ArmijoHealth Technology Assessment Unit, Clinical Research Center, School of Medicine, Pontificia Universidad Católica de Chile, Santiago, Chile.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0002-6000-0219
Tomás AbbotHealth Technology Assessment Unit, Clinical Research Center, School of Medicine, Pontificia Universidad Católica de Chile, Santiago, Chile.
Manuel EspinozaHealth Technology Assessment Unit, Clinical Research Center, School of Medicine, Pontificia Universidad Católica de Chile, Santiago, Chile. manuel.espinoza@uc.cl.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0001-9564-9512
Ximena NeculhuequeMinistry of Health, Santiago, Chile.
Carlos BalmacedaHealth Technology Assessment Unit, Clinical Research Center, School of Medicine, Pontificia Universidad Católica de Chile, Santiago, Chile.

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundAccess to palliative care is an emerging global public health challenge. In Chile, a palliative care law was recently enacted to extend palliative care coverage to the non-oncologic population. Thus, a reliable and legitimate estimate of the demand for palliative care is needed for proper health policy planning.

objectiveTo estimate the demand for Palliative Care in Chile. METHODOLOGY: Diseases likely to require palliative care were identified according to literature and expert judgement. Annual deaths of diseases identified were estimated for the periods 2018-2020. Demand estimation corresponds to the identification of the proportion of deceased patients requiring palliative care based on the burden of severe health-related suffering. Finally, patient-years were estimated based on the expected survival adjustment.

resultsThe estimated demand for palliative care varies between 25,650 and 21,679 patients depending on the approximation used. In terms of annual demand, this varies between 1,442 and 10,964 patient-years. The estimated need has a minor variation between 2018 and 2019 of 0.85% on average, while 2020 shows a slightly higher decrease (7.26%).

conclusionThis is a replicable method for estimating the demand of palliative care in other jurisdictions. Future studies could approach the demand based on the decedent population and living one for a more precise estimation and better-informed health planning. It is hoped that our methodological approach will serve as an input for implementing the palliative care law in Chile, and as an example of estimating the demand for palliative care in other jurisdictions.

Indexed as

Hospice and Palliative Care NursingPalliative CareChileForecastingHealth Services Needs and DemandHumansChronic diseaseComorbidityForecastingHealth services needs and demandMortalityPalliative care

Identifiers

PMID36631865
PMCPMC9834031

What OpenQuestion holds

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Registered trials

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.