ArticleBMC public health2023
Population health trends and disease profile in Somalia 1990-2019, and projection to 2030: will the country achieve sustainable development goals 2 and 3?
Article in BMC public health, 2023. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 25 papers, 1 of them a synthesis that pooled it.
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The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.
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Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.
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Who cites it
25 citing papers in PubMed, 1 synthesis or guideline pooled it.
- Coverage and determinants of childhood immunization in Somalia: A systematic review and meta-analysis.Human vaccines & immunotherapeutics · 2026Pooled it
- Prevalence and risk factors of hypertensive disorders during pregnancy in Somalia: A multilevel analysis of the 2020 Demographic and Health Survey.International journal of cardiology. Cardiovascular risk and prevention · 2026Article
- Strengthening Primary Health Care for Improved Population Health and Health Equity in Somalia: A Narrative Review.Public health challenges · 2026Review
- Securing Somalia's health: leveraging sin tax revenues to drive universal health coverage and financial protection for lifesaving care in Somalia's health system-scoping review.Health economics review · 2026Review
- Prolonged multisectoral aid-driven reliance on health systems and governance post-conflict era in Somalia.Tropical medicine and health · 2026Review
- Implementing Somalia's National Transformation Plan 2025-2029 for health-system reform: a policy and practice review of governance, financing, and institutional readiness.Frontiers in health services · 2026Review
- Implementation of Integrated Telemedicine Services in Resource-Limited Somalia: A Case Study of Baano Healthcare Technology.International journal of telemedicine and applications · 2026Article
- Arachidonic Acid-Induced Contraction of Smooth Muscle Is Mediated by MLC Phosphorylation in Preterm Birth.Journal of pregnancy · 2026Article
- Challenges and opportunities in controlling and eradicating neglected tropical diseases: Public and private health operators in Somalia 2025.Tropical medicine and health · 2025Article
- Maternal health inequity in Somalia: A multivariate analysis of poverty and service utilization using nationwide cross-sectional survey data.Public health in practice (Oxford, England) · 2025Article
- The State of Public Health in Somalia: Top 5 Challenges and Strategies for Improvement.Public health challenges · 2025Review
- Strengthening Somalia's health system: pathways to achieving International Health Regulations core capacities at points of entry by 2025.Tropical medicine and health · 2025Review
- The Economic and Public Health Burden of Foodborne Illness in Somalia: Prevalence, Costs, and Policy Imperatives.Public health challenges · 2025Article
- Analyzing factors affecting age at first birth among married women in Somalia: a Bayesian shared frailty modelling approach using SDHS 2020.BMC women's health · 2025Article
- Sustainable Development Goals and Health in Islamic Countries.Iranian journal of public health · 2025Article
- Immunization status and its determinants among children aged 12-23 months at community health centers in Mogadishu, Somalia: a cross-sectional study.Frontiers in pediatrics · 2025Article
- Level of completion of maternity continuum of care among ever-married women: An analysis of Somalia's health and demographic survey 2020.PLOS global public health · 2025Article
- Neonatal Mortality and Associated Factors at a Tertiary-Level Neonatal Intensive Care Unit in Mogadishu, Somalia: A Retrospective Study.Pediatric health, medicine and therapeutics · 2025Article
- Epidemiological investigation of dengue fever outbreak and its socioeconomic determinants in Banadir region, Somalia.BMC infectious diseases · 2024Article
- Linkages between the Sustainable Development Goals and health in Somalia.BMC public health · 2024Article
Corrections and comments
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Authors and funding
2 authors.
Funding
Abstract
objectivesThis study aims to evaluate whether Somalia will reach Sustainable Development Goals 2 and 3 by 2030 and what the country requires to advance closer to these objectives.
settingSomalia.
participantsWe carried out analyses of secondary data obtained from the following open-access databases: Global Burden of Disease 2019 study; United Nations (UN) Department of Economic and Social Affairs Population Division; World Bank World Development Indicators; United Nations Children's Fund (UNICEF); UNICEF/World Health Organisation (WHO)/World Bank Joint Child Malnutrition Estimates; and UN Interagency Group for Child Mortality Estimation (UN IGME), disaggregated by sex. PRIMARY OUTCOME MEASURES: stillbirth, neonatal, infant, under-five, maternal and child mortality; under-five malnutrition; life expectancy; health-adjusted life expectancy; age-standardised all-cause mortality; age-standardised cause-specific mortality for the leading causes of death; disability-adjusted life years. SECONDARY OUTCOME MEASURES: vitamin A coverage; stunting, overweight in children under 5; top risk factors contributing to cause-specific mortality.
resultslife expectancy in Somalia will increase to 65.42 years (95% UI 62.30-68.54) for females and 58.54 years (95% UI 54.89-62.19) for males in 2030. Stunting will continue to decline to 25.2% (90% UI 13.9-39.5%), and the under-five mortality rate will drop to 85.9 per 1000 live births (90% UI 22.0-228.1 per 1000 live births) for females and 96.4 per 1000 live births (90% UI 24.8-255.3 per 1000 live births) for males in 2030. This study's analyses predict that the maternal mortality ratio in Somalia will decline to 696.42 deaths per 100,000 live births in 2030.
conclusionsthere has been progress towards SDG targets in Somalia since 1990. To achieve these, Somalia requires greater health improvements than observed between 1990 and 2019.
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