Evidence map›Paper›PMID 36626041›Full record

ArticleApplied health economics and health policy2023

Cost Effectiveness of Denosumab for Secondary Prevention of Osteoporotic Fractures Among Postmenopausal Women in China: An Individual-Level Simulation Analysis.

Yawen Jiang, Shan Jiang, Limin Li, Si Shi, Mincai Li, Lei Si

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In one paragraph

Article in Applied health economics and health policy, 2023. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 2 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
2citing papers in PubMed
0.5field-weighted citation impact, top 43% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

2 citing papers in PubMed, 2 citations in OpenAlex.

  1. Challenges in Measuring Outcomes in the Wrist.Journal of wrist surgery · 2026
    Article
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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

6 authors at 3 institutions in 3 countries.

Yawen Jiang *School of Public Health (Shenzhen), Sun Yat-sen University, Shenzhen, Guangdong, China.ORCID 0000-0002-0498-0662
Shan Jiang *School of Population and Public Health, University of British Columbia, Vancouver, BC, Canada.
Limin LiSchool of Public Health (Shenzhen), Sun Yat-sen University, Shenzhen, Guangdong, China.
Si ShiSchool of Public Health (Shenzhen), Sun Yat-sen University, Shenzhen, Guangdong, China.
Mincai LiSchool of Public Health (Shenzhen), Sun Yat-sen University, Shenzhen, Guangdong, China.
Lei SiSchool of Health Sciences, Western Sydney University, Campbelltown, NSW, Australia. l.si@westernsydney.edu.au.ORCID 0000-0002-3044-170X
Sun Yat-sen University · CNCamden and Campbelltown Hospitals · AUUniversity of British Columbia · CA

Funding

National Natural Science Foundation of China 72004242
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

objectiveThis study evaluated the cost effectiveness of denosumab versus alendronate for secondary prevention of osteoporotic fractures among post-menopausal women in China.

methodsA validated individual-level simulation model of osteoporotic fractures in the Chinese setting was adapted. Allowing both treatment discontinuation and waning effects, the analysis aimed to evaluate the incremental cost-effectiveness ratio of denosumab compared to alendronate by simulating a cohort of previously fractured individuals over the residual lifetime from the healthcare system perspective. Hip, vertebral, and wrist/humeral fractures were tracked along with the associated medical costs and quality-adjusted life-years. Age-related health state utility values, health state utility values of fractures, costs, fracture incidence, and mortality risks for Chinese were used whenever available. Comparative effectiveness data were obtained from a published network meta-analysis. One-way and probabilistic sensitivity analyses were conducted.

resultsIn the base case, denosumab was dominated by alendronate with incremental costs of CN¥2743 (US$425) and incremental health outcomes of - 0.20 quality-adjusted life-years at its current price in mainland China. It remained dominated in all one-way sensitivity analysis robustness checks. However, denosumab was cost effective if both drugs did not carry any waning effects. In the probabilistic sensitivity analysis, denosumab remained dominated in all replications.

conclusionsDenosumab is not cost effective for preventing secondary fractures among overall postmenopausal women in China. It is advisable to identify alternative denosumab regimens for high-risk subgroups among previously fractured postmenopausal women.

Indexed as

Bone Density Conservation AgentsOsteoporosis, PostmenopausalOsteoporotic FracturesAlendronateAntibodies, Monoclonal, HumanizedCost-Benefit AnalysisCost-Effectiveness AnalysisDenosumabFemaleHumansNetwork Meta-Analysis as TopicPostmenopauseQuality-Adjusted Life YearsSecondary PreventionAlendronateAntibodies, Monoclonal, HumanizedBone Density Conservation AgentsDenosumab

Identifiers

PMID36626041
OpenAlexW4315436351

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.