Evidence map›Paper›PMID 36625555›Full record

ArticleG3 (Bethesda, Md.)2023

Yield prediction through integration of genetic, environment, and management data through deep learning.

Daniel R Kick, Jason G Wallace, James C Schnable, Judith M Kolkman, Barış Alaca, Timothy M Beissinger, Jode Edwards, David Ertl, Sherry Flint-Garcia, Joseph L Gage and 9 more

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in G3 (Bethesda, Md.), 2023. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 24 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
24citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

24 citing papers in PubMed.

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  12. Integration of crop modeling and sensing into molecular breeding for nutritional quality and stress tolerance.TAG. Theoretical and applied genetics. Theoretische und angewandte Genetik · 2025
    Review
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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

19 authors.

Daniel R KickUnited States Department of Agriculture, Agricultural Research Service Plant Genetics Research Unit, Columbia, MO 65211, USA.ORCID 0000-0002-9002-1862
Jason G WallaceDepartment of Crop & Soil Science, University of Georgia, Athens, GA 30602, USA.ORCID 0000-0002-8937-6543
James C SchnableCenter for Plant Science Innovation and Department of Agronomy and Horticulture, University of Nebraska-Lincoln, Lincoln, NE 68588, USA.ORCID 0000-0001-6739-5527
Judith M KolkmanSchool of Integrative Plant Science, Cornell University, Ithaca, NY 14853, USA.ORCID 0000-0001-7388-7245
Barış AlacaDivision of Plant Breeding Methodology, Department of Crop Science, University of Goettingen, Goettingen 37073, Germany.ORCID 0000-0001-7542-6514
Timothy M BeissingerDivision of Plant Breeding Methodology, Department of Crop Science, University of Goettingen, Goettingen 37073, Germany.ORCID 0000-0002-2882-4074
Jode EdwardsUnited States Department of Agriculture, Agricultural Research Service, Ames, IA 50011, USA.ORCID 0000-0001-7918-476X
David ErtlResearch and Business Development, Iowa Corn Promotion Board, Johnston, IA 50131, USA.ORCID 0000-0003-1374-2970
Sherry Flint-GarciaUnited States Department of Agriculture, Agricultural Research Service Plant Genetics Research Unit, Columbia, MO 65211, USA.ORCID 0000-0003-4156-5318
Joseph L GageDepartment of Crop and Soil Sciences, North Carolina State University, Raleigh, NC 27695, USA.ORCID 0000-0001-5946-4414
Candice N HirschDepartment of Agronomy and Plant Genetics, University of Minnesota, St. Paul, MN 55108, USA.ORCID 0000-0002-8833-3023
Joseph E KnollUnited States Department of Agriculture, Agricultural Research Service Crop Genetics and Breeding Research Unit, Tifton, GA 31793, USA.ORCID 0000-0002-7477-4039
Natalia de LeonDepartment of Agronomy, University of Wisconsin, Madison, WI 53706, USA.ORCID 0000-0001-7867-9058
Dayane C LimaPlant Breeding and Plant Genetics Program, University of Wisconsin, Madison, WI 53706, USA.ORCID 0000-0002-5327-2160
Danilo E MoretaSchool of Integrative Plant Science, Cornell University, Ithaca, NY 14853, USA.ORCID 0000-0001-6866-9200
Maninder P SinghDepartment of Plant, Soil and Microbial Sciences, Michigan State University, East Lansing, MI 48824, USA.ORCID 0000-0001-6166-2452
Addie ThompsonDepartment of Plant, Soil and Microbial Sciences, Michigan State University, East Lansing, MI 48824, USA.ORCID 0000-0002-4442-6578
Teclemariam WeldekidanPlant and Soil Sciences, University of Delaware, Newark, DE 19716, USA.ORCID 0000-0003-4427-0099
Jacob D WashburnUnited States Department of Agriculture, Agricultural Research Service Plant Genetics Research Unit, Columbia, MO 65211, USA.ORCID 0000-0003-0185-7105

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Accurate prediction of the phenotypic outcomes produced by different combinations of genotypes, environments, and management interventions remains a key goal in biology with direct applications to agriculture, research, and conservation. The past decades have seen an expansion of new methods applied toward this goal. Here we predict maize yield using deep neural networks, compare the efficacy of 2 model development methods, and contextualize model performance using conventional linear and machine learning models. We examine the usefulness of incorporating interactions between disparate data types. We find deep learning and best linear unbiased predictor (BLUP) models with interactions had the best overall performance. BLUP models achieved the lowest average error, but deep learning models performed more consistently with similar average error. Optimizing deep neural network submodules for each data type improved model performance relative to optimizing the whole model for all data types at once. Examining the effect of interactions in the best-performing model revealed that including interactions altered the model's sensitivity to weather and management features, including a reduction of the importance scores for timepoints expected to have a limited physiological basis for influencing yield-those at the extreme end of the season, nearly 200 days post planting. Based on these results, deep learning provides a promising avenue for the phenotypic prediction of complex traits in complex environments and a potential mechanism to better understand the influence of environmental and genetic factors.

Indexed as

Deep LearningGenotypeMachine LearningMultifactorial InheritanceNeural Networks, Computerconvolutional neural networkdeep learningGEMgene-by-environment interaction (G×E)phenotypic prediction

Identifiers

PMID36625555
PMCPMC10085787

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.