Evidence map›Paper›PMID 36619331›Full record

ArticleBMJ nutrition, prevention & health2022

Reducing daily salt intake in China by 1 g could prevent almost 9 million cardiovascular events by 2030: a modelling study.

Monique Tan, Feng He, Joan K Morris, Graham MacGregor

Open access · goldAbstract read
In one paragraph

Article in BMJ nutrition, prevention & health, 2022. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 24 papers, 1 of them a synthesis that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
24citing papers in PubMed, 1 pooled it
4.1field-weighted citation impact, top 5% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

24 citing papers in PubMed, 1 synthesis or guideline pooled it, 38 citations in OpenAlex.

  1. Guideline
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  7. [Folic acid supplementation alleviates high-salt diet-induced renal fibrosis in mice].Nan fang yi ke da xue xue bao = Journal of Southern Medical University · 2026
    Article
  8. Review
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  12. Sensory studies on the taste and flavor perception of food products by anodal transcutaneous electrical stimulation.Hypertension research : official journal of the Japanese Society of Hypertension · 2025
    Article
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  20. Dietary Intake of Salt from Meat Products in Serbian Population.International journal of environmental research and public health · 2023
    Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

4 authors at 2 institutions in 1 country.

Monique TanWolfson Institute of Population Health, Barts and The London School of Medicine & Dentistry, Queen Mary University of London, London, UK.ORCID 0000-0003-4287-5553
Feng HeWolfson Institute of Population Health, Barts and The London School of Medicine & Dentistry, Queen Mary University of London, London, UK.
Joan K MorrisSt George's University of London, London, UK.
Graham MacGregorWolfson Institute of Population Health, Barts and The London School of Medicine & Dentistry, Queen Mary University of London, London, UK.
Queen Mary University of London · GBSt George's, University of London · GB

Funding

Medical Research Council MR/J015903/1Medical Research Council MR/P012590/1
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Introduction: In China, salt intake is among the highest in the world (~11 g/day) and cardiovascular disease (CVD) accounts for 40% of deaths. We estimated the potential impact of reducing salt intake on CVD events in China, via systolic blood pressure (SBP). Methods: To develop our model, we extracted the effect of salt reduction on SBP from a meta-regression of randomised trials and a population study, and that of SBP on CVD risk from pooled cohort studies. Results: Reducing population salt intake in China by 1 g/day could lower the risk for ischaemic heart disease by about 4% (95% uncertainty interval 1.8%-7.7%) and the risk for stroke by about 6% (2.4%-9.3%). Should this reduced salt level be sustained until 2030,~9 million (M) (7M-10.8M) CVD events could be prevented, of which ~4M (3.1M-4.9M) would have been fatal. Greater and gradual salt intake reductions, to achieve WHO's target of 30% reduction by 2025 or the Chinese government's target of ≤5 g/day by 2030, could prevent ~1.5 or 2 times more CVD events and deaths, respectively. Should the prolonged effect of salt reduction over several years be accounted for, all estimates of CVD events and deaths prevented would be 25% greater on average. Conclusion: Bringing down the high salt intake levels in China could result in large reductions in CVD. An easily achievable reduction of 1 g/day could prevent ~9M CVD events by 2030. Urgent action must be taken to reduce salt intake in China.

Indexed as

blood pressure lowering

Identifiers

PMID36619331
PMCPMC9813635
OpenAlexW4293870375

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
LicenceCC BY
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.