Evidence map›Paper›PMID 36610062›Full record

Observational studyEuropace : European pacing, arrhythmias, and cardiac electrophysiology : journal of the working groups on cardiac pacing, arrhythmias, and cardiac cellular electrophysiology of the European Society of Cardiology2023

Improved prediction of sudden cardiac death in patients with heart failure through digital processing of electrocardiography.

Yasuyuki Shiraishi, Shinichi Goto, Nozomi Niimi, Yoshinori Katsumata, Ayumi Goda, Makoto Takei, Mike Saji, Motoaki Sano, Keiichi Fukuda, Takashi Kohno and 2 more

Open access · hybridAbstract readObservational Study
In one paragraph

Observational study in Europace : European pacing, arrhythmias, and cardiac electrophysiology : journal of the working groups on cardiac pacing, arrhythmias, and cardiac cellular electrophysiology of the European Society of Cardiology, 2023. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 27 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
27citing papers in PubMed
8.8field-weighted citation impact, top 2% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

27 citing papers in PubMed, 40 citations in OpenAlex.

  1. Observational
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  5. EHRA perspective on the digital data revolution in arrhythmia management: insights from the association's annual summit.Europace : European pacing, arrhythmias, and cardiac electrophysiology : journal of the working groups on cardiac pacing, arrhythmias, and cardiac cellular electrophysiology of the European Society of Cardiology · 2025
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  7. State of the Art of Artificial Intelligence in Clinical Electrophysiology in 2025: A Scientific Statement of the European Heart Rhythm Association (EHRA) of the ESC, the Heart Rhythm Society (HRS), and the ESC Working Group on E-Cardiology.Europace : European pacing, arrhythmias, and cardiac electrophysiology : journal of the working groups on cardiac pacing, arrhythmias, and cardiac cellular electrophysiology of the European Society of Cardiology · 2025
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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

12 authors at 6 institutions in 2 countries.

Yasuyuki ShiraishiDepartment of Cardiology, Keio University School of Medicine, 35 Shinanomachi Shinjuku-ku, Tokyo 160-8582, Japan.ORCID 0000-0001-8788-1186
Shinichi GotoOne Brave Idea and Division of Cardiovascular Medicine, Department of Medicine, Brigham and Women's Hospital, Boston, MA, USA.ORCID 0000-0002-0450-0331
Nozomi NiimiDepartment of Cardiology, Keio University School of Medicine, 35 Shinanomachi Shinjuku-ku, Tokyo 160-8582, Japan.ORCID 0000-0002-6909-0740
Yoshinori KatsumataInstitute for Integrated Sports Medicine, Keio University School of Medicine, Tokyo, Japan.ORCID 0000-0001-5576-5789
Ayumi GodaDepartment of Cardiovascular Medicine, Kyorin University Faculty of Medicine, Tokyo, Japan.ORCID 0000-0002-4388-7639
Makoto TakeiDepartment of Cardiology, Saiseikai Central Hospital, Tokyo, Japan.ORCID 0000-0002-9851-4522
Mike SajiDepartment of Cardiology, Sakakibara Heart Institute, Tokyo, Japan.ORCID 0000-0003-2057-109X
Motoaki SanoDepartment of Cardiology, Keio University School of Medicine, 35 Shinanomachi Shinjuku-ku, Tokyo 160-8582, Japan.
Keiichi FukudaDepartment of Cardiology, Keio University School of Medicine, 35 Shinanomachi Shinjuku-ku, Tokyo 160-8582, Japan.ORCID 0000-0003-1413-0482
Takashi KohnoDepartment of Cardiovascular Medicine, Kyorin University Faculty of Medicine, Tokyo, Japan.ORCID 0000-0003-2604-1284
Tsutomu YoshikawaDepartment of Cardiology, Sakakibara Heart Institute, Tokyo, Japan.
Shun KohsakaDepartment of Cardiology, Keio University School of Medicine, 35 Shinanomachi Shinjuku-ku, Tokyo 160-8582, Japan.ORCID 0000-0003-3779-2972
Keio University Hospital · JPKyorin University · JPSakakibara Hospital · JPBrigham and Women's Hospital · USKeio University · JPSaiseikai Central Hospital · JP

Funding

Grant-in-Aid for Scientific Research 23591062Grant-in-Aid for Young Scientists 18K15860Japan Agency for Medical Research and Development 201439013CJapanese Circulation SocietySakakibara Clinical Research Grants for the Promotion of ScienceSECOM Science and Technology FoundationUehara Memorial Foundation
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

aimsAvailable predictive models for sudden cardiac death (SCD) in heart failure (HF) patients remain suboptimal. We assessed whether the electrocardiography (ECG)-based artificial intelligence (AI) could better predict SCD, and also whether the combination of the ECG-AI index and conventional predictors of SCD would improve the SCD stratification among HF patients. METHODS AND

resultsIn a prospective observational study, 4 tertiary care hospitals in Tokyo enrolled 2559 patients hospitalized for HF who were successfully discharged after acute decompensation. The ECG data during the index hospitalization were extracted from the hospitals' electronic medical record systems. The association of the ECG-AI index and SCD was evaluated with adjustment for left ventricular ejection fraction (LVEF), New York Heart Association (NYHA) class, and competing risk of non-SCD. The ECG-AI index plus classical predictive guidelines (i.e. LVEF ≤35%, NYHA Class II and III) significantly improved the discriminative value of SCD [receiver operating characteristic area under the curve (ROC-AUC), 0.66 vs. 0.59; P = 0.017; Delong's test] with good calibration (P = 0.11; Hosmer-Lemeshow test) and improved net reclassification [36%; 95% confidence interval (CI), 9-64%; P = 0.009]. The Fine-Gray model considering the competing risk of non-SCD demonstrated that the ECG-AI index was independently associated with SCD (adjusted sub-distributional hazard ratio, 1.25; 95% CI, 1.04-1.49; P = 0.015). An increased proportional risk of SCD vs. non-SCD with an increasing ECG-AI index was also observed (low, 16.7%; intermediate, 18.5%; high, 28.7%; P for trend = 0.023). Similar findings were observed in patients aged ≤75 years with a non-ischaemic aetiology and an LVEF of >35%.

conclusionTo improve risk stratification of SCD, ECG-based AI may provide additional values in the management of patients with HF.

Indexed as

Artificial IntelligenceHeart FailureDeath, Sudden, CardiacElectrocardiographyHumansRisk AssessmentRisk FactorsStroke VolumeVentricular Function, LeftArtificial intelligenceElectrocardiogramHeart failureLeft ventricular ejection fractionSudden cardiac death

Identifiers

PMID36610062
PMCPMC10062335
OpenAlexW4313700861

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Registered trials

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.