Evidence map›Paper›PMID 36609317›Full record

ArticleCardiovascular diabetology2023

Risk of heart failure in elderly patients with atrial fibrillation and diabetes taking different oral anticoagulants: a nationwide cohort study.

Shu-Man Lin, Peter Pin-Sung Liu, Yu-Kang Tu, Edward Chia-Cheng Lai, Jih-I Yeh, Jin-Yi Hsu, Kashif M Munir, Carol Chiung-Hui Peng, Huei-Kai Huang, Ching-Hui Loh

Open access · goldAbstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Cardiovascular diabetology, 2023. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 13 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
13citing papers in PubMed
7.5field-weighted citation impact, top 2% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

13 citing papers in PubMed, 34 citations in OpenAlex.

  1. Article
  2. Review
  3. Cellular and molecular mechanisms underlying cardiovascular aging.Cellular & molecular biology letters · 2025
    Review
  4. Article
  5. Article
  6. Prevention of New-Onset Heart Failure in Atrial Fibrillation: The Role of Pharmacological Management.American journal of cardiovascular drugs : drugs, devices, and other interventions · 2025
    Review
  7. Article
  8. Review
  9. Article
  10. Review
  11. Review
  12. Review
  13. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

10 authors at 6 institutions in 2 countries.

Shu-Man LinDepartment of Physical Medicine and Rehabilitation, Hualien Tzu Chi Hospital, Buddhist Tzu Chi Medical Foundation, Hualien, Taiwan.
Peter Pin-Sung LiuCenter for Aging and Health, Hualien Tzu Chi Hospital, Buddhist Tzu Chi Medical Foundation, No. 707, Sec. 3, Chung Yang Rd., Hualien, 97002, Taiwan.
Yu-Kang TuInstitute of Epidemiology and Preventive Medicine, College of Public Health, National Taiwan University, Taipei, Taiwan.
Edward Chia-Cheng LaiSchool of Pharmacy, Institute of Clinical Pharmacy and Pharmaceutical Sciences, College of Medicine, National Cheng Kung University, Tainan, Taiwan.
Jih-I YehSchool of Medicine, Tzu Chi University, Hualien, Taiwan.
Jin-Yi HsuSchool of Medicine, Tzu Chi University, Hualien, Taiwan.
Kashif M MunirDivision of Endocrinology, Diabetes and Nutrition, University of Maryland School of Medicine, Baltimore, MD, USA.
Carol Chiung-Hui PengSection of Endocrinology, Diabetes, Nutrition & Weight Management, Boston University School of Medicine, Boston, MA, USA.
Huei-Kai Huang *School of Medicine, Tzu Chi University, Hualien, Taiwan. drhkhuang@gmail.com.
Ching-Hui Loh *School of Medicine, Tzu Chi University, Hualien, Taiwan. twdoc1960@gmail.com.
Tzu Chi Foundation · TWTzu Chi University · TWBoston University · USNational Cheng Kung University · TWNational Taiwan University Hospital · TWUniversity of Maryland, Baltimore · US

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundHeart failure (HF) is a critical complication in elderly patients with atrial fibrillation (AF) and diabetes mellitus (DM). Recent preclinical studies suggested that non-vitamin K antagonist oral anticoagulants (NOACs) can potentially suppress the progression of cardiac fibrosis and ischemic cardiomyopathy. Whether different oral anticoagulants influence the risk of HF in older adults with AF and DM is unknown. This study aimed to evaluate the risk of HF in elderly patients with AF and DM who were administered NOACs or warfarin.

methodsA nationwide retrospective cohort study was conducted based on claims data from the entire Taiwanese population. Target trial emulation design was applied to strengthen causal inference using observational data. Patients aged  ≥ 65 years with AF and DM on NOAC or warfarin treatment between 2012 and 2019 were included and followed up until 2020. The primary outcome was newly diagnosed HF. Propensity score-based fine stratification weightings were used to balance patient characteristics between NOAC and warfarin groups. Hazard ratios (HRs) were estimated using Cox proportional hazard models.

resultsThe study included a total of 24,835 individuals (19,710 NOAC and 5,125 warfarin users). Patients taking NOACs had a significantly lower risk of HF than those taking warfarin (HR = 0.80, 95% CI 0.74-0.86, p < 0.001). Subgroup analyses for individual NOACs suggested that dabigatran (HR = 0.86, 95% CI 0.80-0.93, p < 0.001), rivaroxaban (HR = 0.80, 95% CI 0.74-0.86, p < 0.001), apixaban (HR = 0.78, 95% CI 0.68-0.90, p < 0.001), and edoxaban (HR = 0.72, 95% CI 0.60-0.86, p < 0.001) were associated with lower risks of HF than warfarin. The findings were consistent regardless of age and sex subgroups and were more prominent in those with high medication possession ratios. Several sensitivity analyses further supported the robustness of our findings.

conclusionsThis nationwide cohort study demonstrated that elderly patients with AF and DM taking NOACs had a lower risk of incident HF than those taking warfarin. Our findings suggested that NOACs may be the preferred oral anticoagulant treatment when considering the prevention of heart failure in this vulnerable population. Future research is warranted to elucidate causation and investigate the underlying mechanisms.

Indexed as

Atrial FibrillationDiabetes MellitusHeart FailureStrokeAdministration, OralAgedAnticoagulantsCohort StudiesHumansRetrospective StudiesRivaroxabanWarfarinAnticoagulantsRivaroxabanWarfarinAtrial fibrillationDiabetes mellitusElderlyHeart failureOral anticoagulant

Identifiers

PMID36609317
PMCPMC9824984
OpenAlexW4313650054

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
LicenceCC BY
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.