ArticleProceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America2023
Epidemic responses under uncertainty.
Article in Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America, 2023. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 9 papers.
What it found
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Who cites it
9 citing papers in PubMed, 32 citations in OpenAlex.
- Optimising pandemic response through vaccination strategies using neural networks.Scientific reports · 2026Article
- Psychological crisis and emergency response in public health emergencies: a case study of the Mpox epidemic.BMC psychology · 2025Article
- Understanding Nash epidemics.Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America · 2025Article
- Asymmetric limits on timely interventions from noisy epidemic data.Communications physics · 2025Article
- Economic Epidemiology: A Framework to Study Interactions of Epidemics and the Economy.Applied health economics and health policy · 2024Article
- Accurately summarizing an outbreak using epidemiological models takes time.Royal Society open science · 2023Article
- Policy and behavioral response to shock events: An agent-based model of the effectiveness and equity of policy design features.PloS one · 2022Article
- Risk perceptions and politics: Evidence from the COVID-19 pandemic.Journal of financial economics · 2021Article
- The Economy, Climate Change and Infectious Diseases: Links and Policy Implications.Environmental & resource economics · 2020Article
Corrections and comments
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Authors and funding
3 authors at 3 institutions in 1 country.
Funding
No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.
Abstract
We examine how policymakers react to a pandemic with uncertainty around key epidemiological and economic policy parameters by embedding a macroeconomic SIR model in a robust control framework. Uncertainty about disease virulence and severity leads to stricter and more persistent quarantines, while uncertainty about the economic costs of mitigation leads to less stringent quarantines. On net, an uncertainty-averse planner adopts stronger mitigation measures. Intuitively, the cost of underestimating the pandemic is out-of-control growth and permanent loss of life, while the cost of underestimating the economic consequences of quarantine is more transitory.
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Registered trials
Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.