Evidence map›Paper›PMID 36603845›Full record

ArticleEuropace : European pacing, arrhythmias, and cardiac electrophysiology : journal of the working groups on cardiac pacing, arrhythmias, and cardiac cellular electrophysiology of the European Society of Cardiology2023

Global burden of atrial fibrillation/atrial flutter and its attributable risk factors from 1990 to 2019.

Xin-Jiang Dong, Bei-Bei Wang, Fei-Fei Hou, Yang Jiao, Hong-Wei Li, Shu-Ping Lv, Fei-Hong Li

Open access · hybridAbstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Europace : European pacing, arrhythmias, and cardiac electrophysiology : journal of the working groups on cardiac pacing, arrhythmias, and cardiac cellular electrophysiology of the European Society of Cardiology, 2023. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 103 papers, 5 of them syntheses that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
103citing papers in PubMed, 5 pooled it
29.9field-weighted citation impact, top 1% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

103 citing papers in PubMed, 5 syntheses or guidelines pooled it, 137 citations in OpenAlex.

  1. Pooled it
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  6. Personalized pulmonary vein isolation guided by left atrial wall thickness for persistent atrial fibrillation ablation: the PeAF-by-LAWT randomized trial.Europace : European pacing, arrhythmias, and cardiac electrophysiology : journal of the working groups on cardiac pacing, arrhythmias, and cardiac cellular electrophysiology of the European Society of Cardiology · 2025
    Trial
  7. Systematic, randomized atrial fibrillation screening using detailed phenotyping with a risk prediction model combined with patch electrocardiogram in a Swedish population aged 65 years or older: the CONSIDERING-AF trial.Europace : European pacing, arrhythmias, and cardiac electrophysiology : journal of the working groups on cardiac pacing, arrhythmias, and cardiac cellular electrophysiology of the European Society of Cardiology · 2025
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  16. Burden and age-specific trends of atrial fibrillation/atrial flutter from 1990 to 2023: a growing challenge among younger and middle-aged adults.Europace : European pacing, arrhythmias, and cardiac electrophysiology : journal of the working groups on cardiac pacing, arrhythmias, and cardiac cellular electrophysiology of the European Society of Cardiology · 2026
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43 more citing papers are in PubMed but not listed here.

4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

7 authors at 6 institutions in 1 country.

Xin-Jiang DongDepartment of Cardiology, Shanxi Cardiovascular Hospital, Yifen Road, Wanbailin District, Taiyuan 030000, China.ORCID 0000-0003-3213-5260
Bei-Bei WangDepartment of Cardiology, The First People's Hospital of Jinzhong, Shuncheng Road, Yuci District, Jinzhong 030600, China.
Fei-Fei HouDepartment of Intensive Care Unit, Affiliated of Inner Mongolia Medical University, Tongdao North Road, Huimin District, Huhehaote 010000, China.
Yang JiaoDepartment of Interventional Radiology, Shaanxi Provincial People's Hospital, Youyi West Road, Beilin District, Xian 710000, China.
Hong-Wei LiDepartment of Cardiology, Shanxi Cardiovascular Hospital, Yifen Road, Wanbailin District, Taiyuan 030000, China.
Shu-Ping LvDepartment of Cardiology, Shanxi Bethune Hospital, Shanxi Academy of Medical Sciences, Longcheng Road, Xiaodian District, Taiyuan 030032, China.
Fei-Hong LiDepartment of Cardiology, Yantai Yeda Hospital, Taishan Road, Fushan District, Yantai 265599, China.
Shanxi Cardiovascular Hospital · CNInner Mongolia Medical University · CNSecond People 's Hospital of Jinzhong · CNShanxi Academy of Medical Sciences · CNShanxi Medical University · CNYantaishan Hospital · CN

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

aimsThe aim of this study was to estimate the global burden of atrial fibrillation (AF)/atrial flutter (AFL) and its attributable risk factors from 1990 to 2019. METHODS AND

resultsThe data on AF/AFL were retrieved from the Global Burden of Disease Study (GBD) 2019. Incidence, disability-adjusted life years (DALYs), and deaths were metrics used to measure AF/AFL burden. The population attributable fractions (PAFs) were used to calculate the percentage contributions of major potential risk factors to age-standardized AF/AFL death. The analysis was performed between 1990 and 2019. Globally, in 2019, there were 4.7 million [95% uncertainty interval (UI): 3.6 to 6.0] incident cases, 8.4 million (95% UI: 6.7 to 10.5) DALYs cases, and 0.32 million (95% UI: 0.27 to 0.36) deaths of AF/AFL. The burden of AF/AFL in 2019 and their temporal trends from 1990 to 2019 varied widely due to gender, Socio-Demographic Index (SDI) quintile, and geographical location. Among all potential risk factors, age-standardized AF/AFL death worldwide in 2019 were primarily attributable to high systolic blood pressure [34.0% (95% UI: 27.3 to 41.0)], followed by high body mass index [20.2% (95% UI: 11.2 to 31.2)], alcohol use [7.4% (95% UI: 5.8 to 9.0)], smoking [4.3% (95% UI: 2.9 to 5.9)], diet high in sodium [4.2% (95% UI: 0.8 to 10.5)], and lead exposure [2.3% (95% UI: 1.3 to 3.4)].

conclusionOur study showed that AF/AFL is still a major public health concern. Despite the advancements in the prevention and treatment of AF/AFL, especially in regions in the relatively SDI quintile, the burden of AF/AFL in regions in lower SDI quintile is increasing. Since AF/AFL is largely preventable and treatable, there is an urgent need to implement more cost-effective strategies and interventions to address modifiable risk factors, especially in regions with high or increased AF/AFL burden.

Indexed as

Atrial FibrillationAtrial FlutterGlobal Burden of DiseaseHumansIncidenceQuality-Adjusted Life YearsRisk FactorsAtrial fibrillation/atrial flutterDeathsDisability-adjusted life yearsGlobal burdenIncidenceRisk factors

Identifiers

PMID36603845
PMCPMC10062373
OpenAlexW4313638292

What OpenQuestion holds

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LicenceCC BY-NC
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Registered trials

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.