Evidence map›Paper›PMID 36602448›Full record

ArticleEuropean journal of clinical investigation2023

Risk prediction of atrial fibrillation and its complications in the community using hs troponin I.

Christin S Börschel, Bastiaan Geelhoed, Teemu Niiranen, Stephan Camen, Maria Benedetta Donati, Aki S Havulinna, Francesco Gianfagna, Tarja Palosaari, Pekka Jousilahti, Jukka Kontto and 18 more

Open access · hybridAbstract read
In one paragraph

Article in European journal of clinical investigation, 2023. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 4 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
4citing papers in PubMed
0.9field-weighted citation impact, top 26% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

4 citing papers in PubMed, 4 citations in OpenAlex.

  1. Article
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  4. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

28 authors at 11 institutions in 7 countries.

Christin S BörschelDepartment of Cardiology, University Heart and Vascular Centre Hamburg-Eppendorf, Hamburg, Germany.ORCID https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9920-0229
Bastiaan GeelhoedDepartment of Cardiology, University Heart and Vascular Centre Hamburg-Eppendorf, Hamburg, Germany.
Teemu NiiranenFinnish Institute for Health and Welfare, Helsinki, Finland.
Stephan CamenDepartment of Cardiology, University Heart and Vascular Centre Hamburg-Eppendorf, Hamburg, Germany.
Maria Benedetta DonatiDepartment of Epidemiology and Prevention, IRCCS Neuromed, Pozzilli, Italy.
Aki S HavulinnaFinnish Institute for Health and Welfare, Helsinki, Finland.
Francesco GianfagnaResearch Center in Epidemiology and Preventive Medicine (EPIMED), Department of Medicine and Surgery, University of Insubria, Varese, Italy.
Tarja PalosaariFinnish Institute for Health and Welfare, Helsinki, Finland.ORCID https://orcid.org/0000-0002-9295-3516
Pekka JousilahtiFinnish Institute for Health and Welfare, Helsinki, Finland.
Jukka KonttoFinnish Institute for Health and Welfare, Helsinki, Finland.
Erkki VartiainenFinnish Institute for Health and Welfare, Helsinki, Finland.
Francisco M OjedaDepartment of Cardiology, University Heart and Vascular Centre Hamburg-Eppendorf, Hamburg, Germany.
Hester M den RuijterLaboratory for Experimental Cardiology, University Medical Center Utrecht, Utrecht University, Utrecht, The Netherlands.
Simona CostanzoDepartment of Epidemiology and Prevention, IRCCS Neuromed, Pozzilli, Italy.
Giovanni de GaetanoDepartment of Epidemiology and Prevention, IRCCS Neuromed, Pozzilli, Italy.
Augusto Di CastelnuovoMediterranea Cardiocentro, Naples, Italy.
Allan LinnebergDepartment of Clinical Medicine, Faculty of Health and Medical Sciences, University of Copenhagen, Copenhagen, Denmark.
Julie K Vishram-NielsenCentre for Clinical Research and Prevention, Bispebjerg and Frederiksberg Hospital, The Capital Region, Copenhagen, Denmark.
Maja-Lisa LøchenDepartment of Community Medicine, UiT The Arctic University of Norway, Tromsø, Norway.
Wolfgang KoenigGerman Heart Centre Munich, Technical University of Munich, Munich, Germany.
Torben JørgensenCentre for Clinical Research and Prevention, Bispebjerg and Frederiksberg Hospital, The Capital Region, Copenhagen, Denmark.
Kari KuulasmaaFinnish Institute for Health and Welfare, Helsinki, Finland.
Stefan BlankenbergDepartment of Cardiology, University Heart and Vascular Centre Hamburg-Eppendorf, Hamburg, Germany.
Licia IacovielloDepartment of Epidemiology and Prevention, IRCCS Neuromed, Pozzilli, Italy.
Tanja ZellerDepartment of Cardiology, University Heart and Vascular Centre Hamburg-Eppendorf, Hamburg, Germany.
Stefan SöderbergDepartment of Public Health and Clinical Medicine, Umeå University, Umeå, Sweden.
Veikko SalomaaFinnish Institute for Health and Welfare, Helsinki, Finland.
Renate B SchnabelDepartment of Cardiology, University Heart and Vascular Centre Hamburg-Eppendorf, Hamburg, Germany.
Finnish Institute for Health and Welfare · FIUniversität Hamburg · DEIstituto Neurologico Mediterraneo · ITUniversity of Copenhagen · DKUniversity of Insubria · ITClinica Mediterranea · ITUiT The Arctic University of Norway · NOUmeå University · SEUniversität Ulm · DEUniversity of Turku · FIUtrecht University · NL

Funding

Academy of Finland 321351Biomed BMH4-CT98-3183Bundesministerium für Bildung und Forschung 01ZX1408AERACoSysMed3 031L0239Fifth Framework Programme QLG2-CT-2002-01254FP7 Health HEALTH-F2-2011-278913FP7 Health HEALTH-F3-2010-242244FP7 Health HEALTH-F4-2007-201413German Center for Cardiovascular Research 81Z1710103H2020 European Research Council 648131H2020 European Research Council 825903H2020 European Research Council 847770Medical Research Council London G0601463 / 80983Swedish Heart and Lung Foundation 20100635Swedish Heart and Lung Foundation 20120631Swedish Heart and Lung Foundation 20140799
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

aimsAtrial fibrillation (AF) is becoming increasingly common. Traditional cardiovascular risk factors (CVRF) do not explain all AF cases. Blood-based biomarkers reflecting cardiac injury such as high-sensitivity troponin I (hsTnI) may help close this gap.

methodsWe investigated the predictive ability of hsTnI for incident AF in 45,298 participants (median age 51.4 years, 45.0% men) across European community cohorts in comparison to CVRF and established biomarkers (C-reactive protein, N-terminal pro B-type natriuretic peptide).

resultsDuring a median follow-up of 7.7 years, 1734 (3.8%) participants developed AF. Those in the highest hsTnI quarter (≥4.2 ng/L) had a 3.91-fold (95% confidence interval (CI) 3.30, 4.63; p < .01) risk for developing AF compared to the lowest quarter (<1.4 ng/L). In multivariable-adjusted Cox proportional hazards models a statistically significant association was seen between hsTnI and AF (hazard ratio (HR) per 1 standard deviation (SD) increase in log10(hsTnI) 1.08; 95% CI 1.01, 1.16; p = .03). Inclusion of hsTnI did improve model discrimination (C-index CVRF 0.811 vs. C-index CVRF and hsTnI 0.813; p < .01). Higher hsTnI concentrations were associated with heart failure (HR per SD 1.37; 95% CI 1.12, 1.68; p < .01) and overall mortality (HR per SD 1.24; 95% CI 1.09, 1.41; p < .01).

conclusionhsTnI as a biomarker of myocardial injury does not improve prediction of AF incidence beyond classical CVRF and NT-proBNP. However, it is associated with the AF-related disease heart failure and mortality likely reflecting underlying subclinical cardiovascular impairment.

Indexed as

Atrial FibrillationHeart FailureBiomarkersFemaleHumansMaleMiddle AgedNatriuretic Peptide, BrainPeptide FragmentsRisk FactorsTroponin IBiomarkersNatriuretic Peptide, BrainPeptide FragmentsTroponin Iatrial fibrillationbiomarkersepidemiologyhigh-sensitivity troponin IN-terminal pro B-type natriuretic peptide

Identifiers

PMID36602448
PMCPMC11475262
OpenAlexW4313545144

What OpenQuestion holds

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LicenceCC BY
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Registered trials

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.