Evidence map›Paper›PMID 36597482›Full record

ArticleHeliyon2023

Personalized predictions of adverse side effects of the COVID-19 vaccines.

Elham Jamshidi, Amirhossein Asgary, Ali Yazdizadeh Kharrazi, Nader Tavakoli, Alireza Zali, Maryam Mehrazi, Masoud Jamshidi, Babak Farrokhi, Ali Maher, Christophe von Garnier and 2 more

Open access · goldAbstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Heliyon, 2023. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 5 papers, 2 of them syntheses that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
5citing papers in PubMed, 2 pooled it
0.7field-weighted citation impact, top 29% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

5 citing papers in PubMed, 2 syntheses or guidelines pooled it, 8 citations in OpenAlex.

  1. Pooled it
  2. Pooled it
  3. Article
  4. Article
  5. Review
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

12 authors at 6 institutions in 2 countries.

Elham JamshidiFunctional Neurosurgery Research Center, Shohada Tajrish Comprehensive Neurosurgical Center of Excellence, Shahid Beheshti University of Medical Sciences, Tehran, Iran.
Amirhossein AsgaryDepartment of Biotechnology, College of Sciences, University of Tehran, Tehran, Iran.
Ali Yazdizadeh KharraziDepartment of Biotechnology, College of Sciences, University of Tehran, Tehran, Iran.
Nader TavakoliTrauma and Injury Research Center, Iran University of Medical Sciences, Tehran, Iran.
Alireza ZaliFunctional Neurosurgery Research Center, Shohada Tajrish Comprehensive Neurosurgical Center of Excellence, Shahid Beheshti University of Medical Sciences, Tehran, Iran.
Maryam MehraziTrauma and Injury Research Center, Iran University of Medical Sciences, Tehran, Iran.
Masoud JamshidiDepartment of Exercise Physiology, Tehran University, Tehran, Iran.
Babak FarrokhiHealth Network Administration Center, Undersecretary for Health Affairs, Ministry of Health and Medical Education, Tehran, Iran.
Ali MaherSchool of Management and Medical Education, Shahid Beheshti University of Medical Sciences, Tehran, Iran.
Christophe von GarnierDivision of Pulmonary Medicine, Department of Medicine, Lausanne University Hospital (CHUV), University of Lausanne (UNIL), Lausanne, Switzerland.
Sahand Jamal RahiLaboratory of the Physics of Biological Systems, Institute of Physics, École polytechnique fédérale de Lausanne (EPFL), Lausanne, Switzerland.
Nahal MansouriDivision of Pulmonary Medicine, Department of Medicine, Lausanne University Hospital (CHUV), University of Lausanne (UNIL), Lausanne, Switzerland.
Shahid Beheshti University of Medical Sciences · IRUniversity of Tehran · IRÉcole Polytechnique Fédérale de Lausanne · CHIran University of Medical Sciences · IRMinistry of Health and Medical Education · IRUniversity of Lausanne · CH

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Background: Misconceptions about adverse side effects are thought to influence public acceptance of the Coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) vaccines negatively. To address such perceived disadvantages of vaccines, a novel machine learning (ML) approach was designed to generate personalized predictions of the most common adverse side effects following injection of six different COVID-19 vaccines based on personal and health-related characteristics. Methods: Prospective data of adverse side effects following COVID-19 vaccination in 19943 participants from Iran and Switzerland was utilized. Six vaccines were studied: The AZD1222, Sputnik V, BBIBP-CorV, COVAXIN, BNT162b2, and the mRNA-1273 vaccine. The eight side effects were considered as the model output: fever, fatigue, headache, nausea, chills, joint pain, muscle pain, and injection site reactions. The total input parameters for the first and second dose predictions were 46 and 54 features, respectively, including age, gender, lifestyle variables, and medical history. The performances of multiple ML models were compared using Area Under the Receiver Operating Characteristic Curve (ROC-AUC). Results: The total number of people receiving the first dose of the AZD1222, Sputnik V, BBIBP-CorV, COVAXIN, BNT162b2, and mRNA-1273 were 6022, 7290, 5279, 802, 277, and 273, respectively. For the second dose, the numbers were 2851, 5587, 3841, 599, 242 and 228. The Logistic Regression model for predicting different side effects of the first dose achieved ROC-AUCs of 0.620-0.686, 0.685-0.716, 0.632-0.727, 0.527-0.598, 0.548-0.655, 0.545-0.712 for the AZD1222, Sputnik V, BBIBP-CorV, COVAXIN, BNT162b2 and mRNA-1273 vaccines, respectively. The second dose models yielded ROC-AUCs of 0.777-0.867, 0.795-0.848, 0.857-0.906, 0.788-0.875, 0.683-0.850, and 0.486-0.680, respectively. Conclusions: Using a large cohort of recipients vaccinated with COVID-19 vaccines, a novel and personalized strategy was established to predict the occurrence of the most common adverse side effects with high accuracy. This technique can serve as a tool to inform COVID-19 vaccine selection and generate personalized factsheets to curb concerns about adverse side effects.

Indexed as

Adverse side effectsAI, artificial intelligenceArtificial intelligenceAstraZenecaAZD1222CovaxinCOVID-19COVID-19, coronavirus disease of 2019KNN, K Nearest NeighborsLR, logistic regressionMachine learningML, machine learningMLP, Multi-Layer PerceptronModernaPfizerRF, random forestROC, receiver operating characteristicSinopharmSputnik VSymptomVaccine

Identifiers

PMID36597482
PMCPMC9800018
OpenAlexW4313334107

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
LicenceCC BY
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.