Evidence map›Paper›PMID 36593658›Full record

ArticleBMJ health & care informatics2022

Predicting emerging SARS-CoV-2 variants of concern through a One Class dynamic anomaly detection algorithm.

Giovanna Nicora, Marco Salemi, Simone Marini, Riccardo Bellazzi

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in BMJ health & care informatics, 2022. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 10 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
10citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

10 citing papers in PubMed.

  1. Article
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  4. Machine Learning Early Detection of SARS-CoV-2 High-Risk Variants.Advanced science (Weinheim, Baden-Wurttemberg, Germany) · 2024
    Article
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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

4 authors.

Giovanna NicoraDepartment of Electrical, Computer and Biomedical Engineering, University of Pavia, Pavia, Italy.
Marco SalemiDepartment of Pathology, University of Florida, Gainesville, FL, USA.
Simone MariniDepartment of Epidemiology, University of Florida, Gainesville, FL, USA riccardo.bellazzi@unipv.it simone.marini@ufl.edu.
Riccardo BellazziDepartment of Electrical, Computer and Biomedical Engineering, University of Pavia, Pavia, Italy riccardo.bellazzi@unipv.it simone.marini@ufl.edu.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0002-6974-9808

Funding

A Phylodynamic Artificial Intelligence framework to predict evolution of SARS-CoV-2 variants of concern in Immunocompromised persons with HIV (PhAI-CoV)R01AI170187 · NIAID · UNIVERSITY OF FLORIDA · PI MARIA LUISA ALCAIDE, Deborah Lynne Jones · 2022 to 2026
$3.7M
NIAID NIH HHS R01 AI170187
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

objectivesThe objective of this study is the implementation of an automatic procedure to weekly detect new SARS-CoV-2 variants and non-neutral variants (variants of concern (VOC) and variants of interest (VOI)).

methodsWe downloaded spike protein primary sequences from the public resource GISAID and we represented each sequence as k-mer counts. For each week since 1 July 2020, we evaluate if each sequence represents an anomaly based on a One Class support vector machine (SVM) classification algorithm trained on neutral protein sequences collected from February to June 2020.

resultsWe assess the ability of the One Class classifier to detect known VOC and VOI, such as Alpha, Delta or Omicron, ahead of their official classification by health authorities. In median, the classifier predicts a non-neutral variant as outlier 10 weeks before the official date of designation as VOC/VOI. DISCUSSION: The identification of non-neutral variants during a pandemic usually relies on indicators available during time, such as changing population size of a variant. Automatic variant surveillance systems based on protein sequences can enhance the fast identification of variants of potential concern.

conclusionMachine learning, and in particular One Class SVM classification, can support the detection of potentially VOC/VOI variants during an evolving pandemics.

Indexed as

COVID-19AlgorithmsHumansMachine LearningSARS-CoV-2COVID-19data sciencemachine learningpublic health informatics

Identifiers

PMID36593658
PMCPMC9742845

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LicenceCC BY-NC
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Registered trials

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.