Evidence map›Paper›PMID 36590075›Full record

ArticleInternational statistical review = Revue internationale de statistique2022

Temporal Models for Demographic and Global Health Outcomes in Multiple Populations: Introducing a New Framework to Review and Standardise Documentation of Model Assumptions and Facilitate Model Comparison.

Herbert Susmann, Monica Alexander, Leontine Alkema

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in International statistical review = Revue internationale de statistique, 2022. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 6 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
6citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

6 citing papers in PubMed.

  1. Article
  2. Article
  3. Article
  4. Global burden of young-onset gastric cancer: a systematic trend analysis of the global burden of disease study 2019.Gastric cancer : official journal of the International Gastric Cancer Association and the Japanese Gastric Cancer Association · 2024
    Article
  5. Article
  6. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

3 authors.

Herbert SusmannDepartment of Biostatistics and Epidemiology University of Massachusetts Amherst 715 North Pleasant Street Amherst MA 01003 USA.ORCID https://orcid.org/0000-0002-3540-8255
Monica AlexanderDepartments of Statistical Sciences and Sociology University of Toronto 700 University Avenue Toronto ON M5G 1Z5 Canada.ORCID https://orcid.org/0000-0002-8135-3435
Leontine AlkemaDepartment of Biostatistics and Epidemiology University of Massachusetts Amherst 715 North Pleasant Street Amherst MA 01003 USA.ORCID https://orcid.org/0000-0001-8806-5957

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

There is growing interest in producing estimates of demographic and global health indicators in populations with limited data. Statistical models are needed to combine data from multiple data sources into estimates and projections with uncertainty. Diverse modelling approaches have been applied to this problem, making comparisons between models difficult. We propose a model class, Temporal Models for Multiple Populations (TMMPs), to facilitate both documentation of model assumptions in a standardised way and comparison across models. The class makes a distinction between the process model, which describes latent trends in the indicator interest, and the data model, which describes the data generating process of the observed data. We provide a general notation for the process model that encompasses many popular temporal modelling techniques, and we show how existing models for a variety of indicators can be written using this notation. We end with a discussion of outstanding questions and future directions.

Indexed as

ARIMA processesBayesian methodsforecastingGaussian processeshierarchical modelsmodel documentationtemporal modelstemporal models for multiple populations

Identifiers

PMID36590075
PMCPMC9790657

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
LicenceCC BY
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.