Evidence map›Paper›PMID 36585480›Full record

ArticleJournal of medical systems2022

A Simulation Modelling Study of Referral Distribution Policies in a Centralized Intake System for Surgical Consultation.

Deborah A Marshall, Toni Tagimacruz, Monica Cepoiu-Martin, Jill Robert, Bernice Ring, Michael Burston, Suzanne Higgins, Monica Hess, Jonathan White

Abstract read
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In one paragraph

Article in Journal of medical systems, 2022. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 3 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
3citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

3 citing papers in PubMed.

  1. Effect of single-entry referral models and team-based care on wait times for hip and knee joint replacement in Ontario: a simulation study.CMAJ : Canadian Medical Association journal = journal de l'Association medicale canadienne · 2025
    Article
  2. Article
  3. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

9 authors.

Deborah A MarshallCumming School of Medicine, McCaig Bone and Joint Health Institute, University of Calgary, 3280 Hospital Drive NW, Calgary, AB, T2N 4Z, Canada. damarsha@ucalgary.ca.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0002-8467-8008
Toni TagimacruzCumming School of Medicine, McCaig Bone and Joint Health Institute, University of Calgary, 3280 Hospital Drive NW, Calgary, AB, T2N 4Z, Canada.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0002-8021-0627
Monica Cepoiu-MartinDepartment of Critical Care Medicine, Cumming School of Medicine, University of Calgary, Calgary, Canada.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0002-8008-9214
Jill RobertSurgery, Alberta Health Services, Bone & Joint Strategic Clinical NetworkTM, Alberta, Canada.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0001-9518-6108
Bernice RingSurgery Strategic Clinical NetworkTM, Alberta Health Services, Alberta, Canada.
Michael BurstonAlberta Health Services, Alberta, Canada.
Suzanne HigginsSurgery Strategic Clinical NetworkTM, Alberta Health Services, Alberta, Canada.
Monica HessAlberta Health Services, Alberta, Canada.
Jonathan WhiteSurgery Strategic Clinical NetworkTM, Alberta Health Services, Alberta, Canada.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0001-5254-506X

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Delays beyond recommended wait times, especially for specialist services, are associated with adverse health outcomes. The Alberta Surgical Initiative aims to improve the referral wait time-the time between a referral is received at the central intake to the time a specialist sees the patient. Using the discrete event simulation modelling approach, we evaluated and compared the impact of four referral distribution policies in a central intake system on three system performance measures (number of consultations, referral wait time and surgeon utilization). The model was co-designed with clinicians and clinic staff to represent the flow of patients through the system. We used data from the Facilitated Access to Surgical Treatment (FAST) centralized intake referral program for General Surgery to parameterize the model. Four distribution policies were evaluated - next-available-surgeon, sequential, "blackjack," and "kanban." A sequential distribution of referrals for surgical consultation among the surgeons resulted in the worst performance in terms of the number of consultations, referral wait time and surgeon utilization. The three other distribution policies are comparable in performance. The "next available surgeon" model provided the most efficient and robust model, with approximately 1,000 more consultations, 100 days shorter referral time and a 14% increase in surgeon utilization. Discrete event simulation (DES) modelling can be an effective tool to illustrate and communicate the impact of the referral distribution policy on system performance in terms of the number of consultations, referral wait time and surgeon utilization.

Indexed as

Referral and ConsultationWaiting ListsAlbertaHealth Services AccessibilityHumansTime FactorsAccessCentral intakeDiscrete-event simulation modelReferral and consultationSurgical consultationWait time management

Identifiers

What OpenQuestion holds

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Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.