Evidence map›Paper›PMID 36580301›Full record

ArticleCirculation. Genomic and precision medicine2023

Sex-Specific Survival Bias and Interaction Modeling in Coronary Artery Disease Risk Prediction.

Ida Surakka, Brooke N Wolford, Scott C Ritchie, Whitney E Hornsby, Nadia R Sutton, Maiken Elvenstad Gabrielsen, Anne Heidi Skogholt, Laurent Thomas, Michael Inouye, Kristian Hveem and 1 more

Open access · hybridAbstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Circulation. Genomic and precision medicine, 2023. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 15 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
15citing papers in PubMed
2.4field-weighted citation impact, top 10% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

15 citing papers in PubMed, 16 citations in OpenAlex.

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  11. Acute Coronary Syndrome in Women: An Update.Current cardiology reports · 2024
    Review
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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

11 authors at 3 institutions in 6 countries.

Ida SurakkaDivision of Cardiovascular Medicine, Department of Internal Medicine (I.S., W.E.H., N.R.S., C.J.W.), University of Michigan, Ann Arbor.ORCID 0000-0002-6669-5541
Brooke N WolfordDepartment of Computational Medicine & Bioinformatics (B.N.W., C.J.W.), University of Michigan, Ann Arbor.ORCID 0000-0003-3153-1552
Scott C RitchieCambridge Baker Systems Genomics Initiative, Department of Public Health & Primary Care (S.C.R., M.I.), University of Cambridge, United Kingdom.ORCID 0000-0002-8454-9548
Whitney E HornsbyDivision of Cardiovascular Medicine, Department of Internal Medicine (I.S., W.E.H., N.R.S., C.J.W.), University of Michigan, Ann Arbor.ORCID 0000-0002-0672-0338
Nadia R SuttonDivision of Cardiovascular Medicine, Department of Internal Medicine (I.S., W.E.H., N.R.S., C.J.W.), University of Michigan, Ann Arbor.ORCID 0000-0002-0968-3085
Maiken Elvenstad GabrielsenK.G. Jebsen Center for Genetic Epidemiology, Department of Public Health & Nursing, NTNU (M.E.G., A.H.S., L.T., K.H.), Norwegian University of Science & Technology, Trondheim, Norway.
Anne Heidi SkogholtK.G. Jebsen Center for Genetic Epidemiology, Department of Public Health & Nursing, NTNU (M.E.G., A.H.S., L.T., K.H.), Norwegian University of Science & Technology, Trondheim, Norway.
Laurent ThomasK.G. Jebsen Center for Genetic Epidemiology, Department of Public Health & Nursing, NTNU (M.E.G., A.H.S., L.T., K.H.), Norwegian University of Science & Technology, Trondheim, Norway.ORCID 0000-0003-0548-2486
Michael InouyeCambridge Baker Systems Genomics Initiative, Department of Public Health & Primary Care (S.C.R., M.I.), University of Cambridge, United Kingdom.
Kristian HveemK.G. Jebsen Center for Genetic Epidemiology, Department of Public Health & Nursing, NTNU (M.E.G., A.H.S., L.T., K.H.), Norwegian University of Science & Technology, Trondheim, Norway.
Cristen J WillerDivision of Cardiovascular Medicine, Department of Internal Medicine (I.S., W.E.H., N.R.S., C.J.W.), University of Michigan, Ann Arbor.ORCID 0000-0001-5645-4966
Norwegian University of Science and Technology · NOUniversity of Michigan · USBaker Heart and Diabetes Institute · AU

Funding

Research Education CoreP30AG024824 · NIA · UNIVERSITY OF MICHIGAN AT ANN ARBOR · PI Neil Alexander · 2004 to 2026
$29.2M
Using genetics to discover mechanisms of myocardial infarctionR01HL109946 · NHLBI · UNIVERSITY OF MICHIGAN AT ANN ARBOR · PI YUQING Eugene CHEN, Ida Liisa Surakka · 2011 to 2026
$8.9M
Using genetic variation to study biology of blood lipids & coronary heart diseaseR01HL127564 · NHLBI · UNIVERSITY OF MICHIGAN AT ANN ARBOR · PI Pradeep Natarajan, Gina Marie Peloso · 2015 to 2026
$7.3M
Using Genetics to Inform Mechanism of Cardiovascular DiseaseR35HL135824 · NHLBI · UNIVERSITY OF MICHIGAN AT ANN ARBOR · PI WILLER, CRISTEN J · 2017 to 2022
$5.4M
Ectonucleotidase modulation of age-dependent vascular calcification and stiffnessK76AG064426 · NIA · VANDERBILT UNIVERSITY MEDICAL CENTER · PI SUTTON, NADIA RAZAQ · 2020 to 2024
$1.2M
Integrative analysis to uncover biology of blood lipids & coronary heart diseaseR01HL142023 · NHLBI · UNIVERSITY OF MICHIGAN AT ANN ARBOR · PI WILLER, CRISTEN J, ZHOU, XIANG · 2018 to 2019
$859k
British Heart Foundation CH/12/2/29428British Heart Foundation RG/13/13/30194British Heart Foundation RG/18/13/33946Medical Research Council MC_PC_17228NHLBI NIH HHS R01 HL109946NHLBI NIH HHS R01 HL127564NHLBI NIH HHS R01 HL142023NHLBI NIH HHS R35 HL135824NIA NIH HHS K76 AG064426NIA NIH HHS P30 AG024824Wellcome Trust
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundThe 10-year Atherosclerotic Cardiovascular Disease risk score is the standard approach to predict risk of incident cardiovascular events, and recently, addition of coronary artery disease (CAD) polygenic scores has been evaluated. Although age and sex strongly predict the risk of CAD, their interaction with genetic risk prediction has not been systematically examined. This study performed an extensive evaluation of age and sex effects in genetic CAD risk prediction.

methodsThe population-based Norwegian HUNT2 (Trøndelag Health Study 2) cohort of 51 036 individuals was used as the primary dataset. Findings were replicated in the UK Biobank (372 410 individuals). Models for 10-year CAD risk were fitted using Cox proportional hazards, and Harrell concordance index, sensitivity, and specificity were compared.

resultsInclusion of age and sex interactions of CAD polygenic score to the prediction models increased the C-index and sensitivity by accounting for nonadditive effects of CAD polygenic score and likely countering the observed survival bias in the baseline. The sensitivity for females was lower than males in all models including genetic information. We identified a total of 82.6% of incident CAD cases by using a 2-step approach: (1) Atherosclerotic Cardiovascular Disease risk score (74.1%) and (2) the CAD polygenic score interaction model for those in low clinical risk (additional 8.5%).

conclusionsThese findings highlight the importance and complexity of genetic risk in predicting CAD. There is a need for modeling age- and sex-interaction terms with polygenic scores to optimize detection of individuals at high risk, those who warrant preventive interventions. Sex-specific studies are needed to understand and estimate CAD risk with genetic information.

Indexed as

Cardiovascular DiseasesCoronary Artery DiseaseFemaleHumansMaleRisk AssessmentRisk FactorsSex Factorsatherosclerosiscardiovascular diseasecoronary artery diseaserisksex

Identifiers

PMID36580301
PMCPMC10525909
OpenAlexW4313279053

What OpenQuestion holds

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Registered trials

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.