ArticleFrontiers in oncology2022
Use of period analysis to timely assess 5-year relative survival for breast cancer patients from Taizhou, Eastern China.
Article in Frontiers in oncology, 2022. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Not yet cited in PubMed.
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Abstract
Objectives: While timely assessment of long-term survival for patients with breast cancer is essential for evaluation on early detection and screening programs, those data are extremely scant in China. We aimed to derive most up-to-date survival estimates and to predict future survival using the cancer registry data from Taizhou city, Eastern China. Methods: Patients diagnosed with breast cancer during 2004-2018 from four cancer registries with high-quality data from Taizhou, Eastern China were included. Period analysis was used to calculate 5-year relative survival (RS) for the overall population and according to the stratification factors sex, age at diagnosis and geographic region. We further predict the upcoming 5-year RS during 2019-2023, using continuous data from three 5-year periods (2004-2008, 2009-2013 and 2014-2018) and a model-based period approach. Results: Overall 6159 patients diagnosed with breast cancer during 2004-2018 were enrolled. The 5-year RS for breast cancer in 2014-2018 reached 88.8%, while women were higher compared to men (90.5% versus 83.7%) and urban areas were higher compared to rural areas (91.9% versus 86.7%). Additionally, we found a clear gradient by age at diagnosis, ranging from 94.8% for age<45 years to 83.3% for age>74 years. Projected overall 5-year RS for the upcoming 2019-2023 could reach 91.5% (84.8% for men and 93.5% for women). Conclusions: We provided, for first time in China, using period analysis, most up-to-date 5-year RS (88.8%) for patients with breast cancer from Taizhou, Eastern China. We also demonstrate the 5-year RS has improved greatly over last 15 years, which has important implications for timely evaluation of early detection and screening programs.
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