Evidence map›Paper›PMID 36577010›Full record

ArticleJournal of chemical information and modeling2023

Emerging Dominant SARS-CoV-2 Variants.

Jiahui Chen, Rui Wang, Yuta Hozumi, Gengzhuo Liu, Yuchi Qiu, Xiaoqi Wei, Guo-Wei Wei

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Journal of chemical information and modeling, 2023. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 26 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
26citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

26 citing papers in PubMed.

  1. Review
  2. Article
  3. Article
  4. Article
  5. Review
  6. Article
  7. Special Issue: Molecular Research and Insights into COVID-19: 2nd Edition.International journal of molecular sciences · 2025
    Article
  8. Article
  9. Article
  10. Article
  11. Article
  12. Review
  13. COVID-19: Lessons Learned from Molecular and Clinical Research.International journal of molecular sciences · 2025
    Article
  14. Article
  15. Article
  16. Article
  17. Article
  18. Article
  19. Review
  20. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

7 authors.

Jiahui ChenDepartment of Mathematics, Michigan State University, Lansing, Michigan 48824, United States.ORCID 0000-0001-5416-6231
Rui WangDepartment of Mathematics, Michigan State University, Lansing, Michigan 48824, United States.ORCID 0000-0002-7402-6372
Yuta HozumiDepartment of Mathematics, Michigan State University, Lansing, Michigan 48824, United States.
Gengzhuo LiuDepartment of Mathematics, Michigan State University, Lansing, Michigan 48824, United States.
Yuchi QiuDepartment of Mathematics, Michigan State University, Lansing, Michigan 48824, United States.
Xiaoqi WeiDepartment of Mathematics, Michigan State University, Lansing, Michigan 48824, United States.
Guo-Wei WeiDepartment of Mathematics, Michigan State University, Lansing, Michigan 48824, United States.ORCID 0000-0002-5781-2937

Funding

AI-based platform for predicting emerging vaccine-escape variants and designing mutation-proof antibodiesR01AI164266 · NIAID · UNIVERSITY OF GEORGIA · PI Guowei Wei, YONG-HUI ZHENG · 2022 to 2026
$2.7M
Synergistic integration of topology and machine learning for the predictions of protein-ligand binding affinities and mutation impactsR01GM126189 · NIGMS · MICHIGAN STATE UNIVERSITY · PI WEI, GUOWEI · 2018 to 2021
$1.4M
NIAID NIH HHS R01 AI164266NIGMS NIH HHS R01 GM126189
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Accurate and reliable forecasting of emerging dominant severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2) variants enables policymakers and vaccine makers to get prepared for future waves of infections. The last three waves of SARS-CoV-2 infections caused by dominant variants, Omicron (BA.1), BA.2, and BA.4/BA.5, were accurately foretold by our artificial intelligence (AI) models built with biophysics, genotyping of viral genomes, experimental data, algebraic topology, and deep learning. On the basis of newly available experimental data, we analyzed the impacts of all possible viral spike (S) protein receptor-binding domain (RBD) mutations on the SARS-CoV-2 infectivity. Our analysis sheds light on viral evolutionary mechanisms, i.e., natural selection through infectivity strengthening and antibody resistance. We forecast that BP.1, BL*, BA.2.75*, BQ.1*, and particularly BN.1* have a high potential to become the new dominant variants to drive the next surge. Our key projection about these variants dominance made on Oct. 18, 2022 (see arXiv:2210.09485) became reality in late November 2022.

Indexed as

COVID-19SARS-CoV-2AntibodiesArtificial IntelligenceHumansAntibodies

Identifiers

PMID36577010
PMCPMC9843632

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
LicenceTDM
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.