Evidence map›Paper›PMID 36575480›Full record

Trial reportRadiation oncology (London, England)2022

Machine learning models predict overall survival and progression free survival of non-surgical esophageal cancer patients with chemoradiotherapy based on CT image radiomics signatures.

Yongbin Cui, Zhengjiang Li, Mingyue Xiang, Dali Han, Yong Yin, Changsheng Ma

Abstract readRandomized Controlled Trial
In one paragraph

Trial report in Radiation oncology (London, England), 2022. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 38 papers, 1 of them a synthesis that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
38citing papers in PubMed, 1 pooled it
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

38 citing papers in PubMed, 1 synthesis or guideline pooled it.

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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

6 authors.

Yongbin CuiDepartment of Graduate, Shandong First Medical University and Shandong Academy of Medical Sciences, Jinan, China.
Zhengjiang LiDepartment of Radiation Oncology, Shandong Cancer Hospital and Institute, Shandong First Medical University and Shandong Academy of Medical Sciences, Jinan, China.
Mingyue XiangDepartment of VIP Medical Services and Radiation Oncology, National Cancer Center/National Clinical Research Center for Cancer/Cancer Hospital, Chinese Academy of Medical Sciences and Peking Union Medical College, Beijing, China.
Dali HanDepartment of Radiation Oncology, Shandong Cancer Hospital and Institute, Shandong First Medical University and Shandong Academy of Medical Sciences, Jinan, China.
Yong YinDepartment of Radiation Oncology, Shandong Cancer Hospital and Institute, Shandong First Medical University and Shandong Academy of Medical Sciences, Jinan, China. yongyinsd@126.com.
Changsheng MaDepartment of Radiation Oncology, Shandong Cancer Hospital and Institute, Shandong First Medical University and Shandong Academy of Medical Sciences, Jinan, China. machangsheng_2000@126.com.

Funding

Key Technology Research and Development Program of Shandong 2018GSF118031National Nature Science Foundation of China 81974467Taishan Scholars Project of Shandong Province ts201712098
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

purposeTo construct machine learning models for predicting progression free survival (PFS) and overall survival (OS) with esophageal squamous cell carcinoma (ESCC) patients.

methods204 ESCC patients were randomly divided into training cohort (n = 143) and test cohort (n = 61) according to the ratio of 7:3. Two radiomics models were constructed by radiomics features, which were selected by LASSO Cox model to predict PFS and OS, respectively. Clinical features were selected by univariate and multivariate Cox proportional hazards model (p < 0.05). Combined radiomics and clinical model was developed by selected clinical and radiomics features. The receiver operating characteristic curve, Kaplan Meier curve and nomogram were used to display the capability of constructed models.

resultsThere were 944 radiomics features extracted based on volume of interest in CT images. There were six radiomics features and seven clinical features for PFS prediction and three radiomics features and three clinical features for OS prediction; The radiomics models showed general performance in training cohort and test cohort for prediction for prediction PFS (AUC, 0.664, 0.676. C-index, 0.65, 0.64) and OS (AUC, 0.634, 0.646.C-index, 0.64, 0.65). The combined models displayed high performance in training cohort and test cohort for prediction PFS (AUC, 0.856, 0.833. C-index, 0.81, 0.79) and OS (AUC, 0.742, 0.768. C-index, 0.72, 0.71).

conclusionWe developed combined radiomics and clinical machine learning models with better performance than radiomics or clinical alone, which were used to accurate predict 3 years PFS and OS of non-surgical ESCC patients. The prediction results could provide a reference for clinical decision.

Indexed as

Esophageal NeoplasmsEsophageal Squamous Cell CarcinomaChemoradiotherapyHumansMachine LearningProgression-Free SurvivalTomography, X-Ray ComputedEsophageal squamous cell carcinomaMachine learningOverall survivalProgression free survivalRadiomics

Identifiers

PMID36575480
PMCPMC9795769

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Registered trials

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.