ArticleHealth services research2023
The effect of nursing home closure on local employment in the United States.
Article in Health services research, 2023. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 4 papers.
What it found
Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.
The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.
The trial behind it
Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.
Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.
Who cites it
4 citing papers in PubMed.
- Trends and Factors in Nursing Home Closures.JAMA health forum · 2026Article
- Evaluating the Effect of National Background Check Program on Nursing Home Deficiency Citations.Health services research · 2026Article
- Supply and Geographic Distribution of Geriatric Physicians and Geriatric Nurse Practitioners.JAMA network open · 2024Article
- The effect of nursing home closure on local employment in the United States.Health services research · 2023Article
Corrections and comments
PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.
Authors and funding
3 authors.
Funding
No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.
Abstract
objectiveTo estimate the effect of nursing home closure on local employment, overall, and by rurality. DATA SOURCES AND STUDY
settingWe obtained 2008-2018 county-level data from the Quarterly Workforce Indicators, Medicare Provider of Services, Area Health Resource, and Urban Influence Codes files. From 2008 to 2018, 878 counties experienced at least one nursing home closure, and 2055 counties did not experience a closure. STUDY
designUsing a difference-in-difference study design, we compare the changes of total employment, health sector employment and non-health sector employment over time between counties with and without a nursing home closure. We utilize the variation in the year and quarter of nursing home closures to estimate subsequent employment changes as well as employment trends before closure. We also account for contemporaneous events including nursing home entries and hospital entries and closures, and evaluate heterogeneity by rurality. DATA EXTRACTION: We include data on nursing home closure from the Medicare Provider of Service file. Quarterly county-level employee counts were obtained from the Quarterly Workforce Indicators provided by the Census Bureau. County-level demographic data were obtained from the Area Health Resource Files. We use Urban Influence Codes from the Economic Research Service, Department of Agriculture, to classify metropolitan, micropolitan, and rural (noncore) counties. PRINCIPAL
findingsHealth sector employment decreased by about 3.2%-4.1% (p < 0.01) in counties with a nursing home closure. The reduction was largest in rural counties (approximately 7.2%-9.4%, p < 0.01). The reduction in health sector employment persisted over time, particularly in rural counties. Overall, there was no discernable effect on non-health sector employment.
conclusionsNursing home closure is associated with a persistent decline in health sector employment, particularly in rural counties, suggesting a reduction in the health care workforce and in the ability to sustain health care services supply, particularly in rural areas.
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Registered trials
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