Evidence map›Paper›PMID 36569384›Full record

ArticleEuropean journal of operational research2021

On sparse ensemble methods: An application to short-term predictions of the evolution of COVID-19.

Sandra Benítez-Peña, Emilio Carrizosa, Vanesa Guerrero, M Dolores Jiménez-Gamero, Belén Martín-Barragán, Cristina Molero-Río, Pepa Ramírez-Cobo, Dolores Romero Morales, M Remedios Sillero-Denamiel

Open access · hybridAbstract read
In one paragraph

Article in European journal of operational research, 2021. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 5 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
5citing papers in PubMed
1.7field-weighted citation impact, top 16% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

5 citing papers in PubMed, 21 citations in OpenAlex.

  1. Article
  2. A Review of the Machine Learning Algorithms for Covid-19 Case Analysis.IEEE transactions on artificial intelligence · 2023
    Article
  3. Article
  4. Article
  5. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

9 authors at 5 institutions in 3 countries.

Sandra Benítez-PeñaInstituto de Matemáticas de la Universidad de Sevilla, Seville, Spain.
Emilio CarrizosaInstituto de Matemáticas de la Universidad de Sevilla, Seville, Spain.
Vanesa GuerreroDepartamento de Estadística, Universidad Carlos III de Madrid, Getafe, Spain.
M Dolores Jiménez-GameroInstituto de Matemáticas de la Universidad de Sevilla, Seville, Spain.
Belén Martín-BarragánThe University of Edinburgh Business School, University of Edinburgh, Edinburgh, UK.
Cristina Molero-RíoInstituto de Matemáticas de la Universidad de Sevilla, Seville, Spain.
Pepa Ramírez-CoboDepartamento de Estadística e Investigación Operativa, Universidad de Cádiz, Cadiz, Spain.
Dolores Romero MoralesDepartment of Economics, Copenhagen Business School, Frederiksberg, Denmark.
M Remedios Sillero-DenamielInstituto de Matemáticas de la Universidad de Sevilla, Seville, Spain.
Universidad de Sevilla · ESCopenhagen Business School · DKUniversidad Carlos III de Madrid · ESUniversidad de Cádiz · ESUniversity of Edinburgh · GB

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Since the seminal paper by Bates and Granger in 1969, a vast number of ensemble methods that combine different base regressors to generate a unique one have been proposed in the literature. The so-obtained regressor method may have better accuracy than its components, but at the same time it may overfit, it may be distorted by base regressors with low accuracy, and it may be too complex to understand and explain. This paper proposes and studies a novel Mathematical Optimization model to build a sparse ensemble, which trades off the accuracy of the ensemble and the number of base regressors used. The latter is controlled by means of a regularization term that penalizes regressors with a poor individual performance. Our approach is flexible to incorporate desirable properties one may have on the ensemble, such as controlling the performance of the ensemble in critical groups of records, or the costs associated with the base regressors involved in the ensemble. We illustrate our approach with real data sets arising in the COVID-19 context.

Indexed as

COVID-19Ensemble MethodMachine LearningMathematical OptimizationSelective Sparsity

Identifiers

PMID36569384
PMCPMC9759092
OpenAlexW3153487720

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.