Evidence map›Paper›PMID 36569146›Full record

ArticleFrontiers in medicine2022

Recent estimates and predictions of 5-year survival rate in patients with pancreatic cancer: A model-based period analysis.

Jing Li, Yunmei Li, Chong Chen, Jiayu Guo, Mengmeng Qiao, Jun Lyu

Open access · goldAbstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Frontiers in medicine, 2022. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 22 papers, 1 of them a synthesis that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
22citing papers in PubMed, 1 pooled it
3.2field-weighted citation impact, top 6% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

22 citing papers in PubMed, 1 synthesis or guideline pooled it, 34 citations in OpenAlex.

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  5. Strategy for early diagnosis of pancreatic cancer.Frontiers in gastroenterology (Lausanne, Switzerland) · 2026
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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

6 authors at 3 institutions in 1 country.

Jing LiDepartment of Clinical Research, The First Affiliated Hospital of Jinan University, Guangzhou, Guangdong, China.
Yunmei LiSchool of Basic Medicine and Public Health, Jinan University, Guangzhou, Guangdong, China.
Chong ChenDepartment of Clinical Research, The First Affiliated Hospital of Jinan University, Guangzhou, Guangdong, China.
Jiayu GuoDepartment of Clinical Research, The First Affiliated Hospital of Jinan University, Guangzhou, Guangdong, China.
Mengmeng QiaoDepartment of Clinical Research, The First Affiliated Hospital of Jinan University, Guangzhou, Guangdong, China.
Jun LyuDepartment of Clinical Research, The First Affiliated Hospital of Jinan University, Guangzhou, Guangdong, China.
First Affiliated Hospital of Jinan University · CNJinan University · CNShaanxi University of Chinese Medicine · CN

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Background: The 5-year survival rate for pancreatic cancer (PC) is incredibly low, resulting in this often being a fatal disease. Timely and accurate assessment of the survival rate and prognosis of patients with PC is of great significance for the development of new programs for prevention, monitoring, and treatment. Methods: Period analysis and further stratified analysis were used to determine the 5-year relative survival rate (RSR) of patients with PC from 2002 to 2016 using the Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results (SEER) project database of the National Cancer Institute. Based on this, a generalized linear model was created to predict the survival rate of patients from 2017 to 2021. Result: During 2002-2016, the 5-year RSR of patients with PC increased from 7.9 to 23.7%. The generalized linear model predicted that the survival rate had increased to 33.9% during 2017-2021, and hence, it was still unacceptably low. The survival rate of patients aged ≥75 years at diagnosis was the lowest among all age groups and was predicted to be only 21.4% during 2017-2021. Notably, the survival rate of patients with differentiation grade III at diagnosis remains particularly low at 7.6%. Conclusion: The survival rates of patients with PC, although slightly improved, remain extremely low. Timely assessment of the trend of survival rate changes in patients with PC further improves the prognosis of tumor patients and provides data support for relevant medical works to formulate effective tumor prevention and control policies.

Indexed as

pancreatic cancerperiod analysispredictionrelative survival rateSEER

Identifiers

PMID36569146
PMCPMC9773388
OpenAlexW4311864882

What OpenQuestion holds

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Registered trials

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.