Predictive and prognostic potential of pretreatment

Introduction: This study was conducted to evaluate the predictive values of volumetric parameters and radiomic features (RFs) extracted from pretreatment 68Ga-PSMA PET and baseline clinical parameters in response to 177Lu-PSMA therapy. Materials and methods: In this retrospective multicenter study, mCRPC patients undergoing 177Lu-PSMA therapy were enrolled. According to the outcome of therapy, the patients were classified into two groups including positive biochemical response (BCR) (≥ 50% reduction in the serum PSA value) and negative BCR (< 50%). Sixty-five RFs, eight volumetric parameters, and also seventeen clinical parameters were evaluated for the prediction of BCR. In addition, the impact of such parameters on overall survival (OS) was evaluated. Results: 33 prostate cancer patients with a median age of 69 years (range: 49-89) were enrolled. BCR was observed in 22 cases (66%), and 16 cases (48.5%) died during the follow-up time. The results of Spearman correlation test indicated a significant relationship between BCR and treatment cycle, administered dose, HISTO energy, GLCM entropy, and GLZLM LZLGE (p<0.05). In addition, according to the Mann-Whitney U test, age, cycle, dose, GLCM entropy, and GLZLM LZLGE were significantly different between BCR and non BCR patients (p<0.05). According to the ROC curve analysis for feature selection for prediction of BCR, GLCM entropy, age, treatment cycle, and administered dose showed acceptable results (p<0.05). According to SVM for assessing the best model for prediction of response to therapy, GLCM entropy alone showed the highest predictive performance in treatment planning. For the entire cohort, the Kaplan-Meier test revealed a median OS of 21 months (95% CI: 12.12-29.88). The median OS was estimated at 26 months (95% CI: 17.43-34.56) for BCR patients and 13 months (95% CI: 9.18-16.81) for non BCR patients. Among all variables included in the Kaplan Meier, the only response to therapy was statistically significant (p=0.01). Conclusion: This exploratory study showed that the heterogeneity parameter of pretreatment 68Ga-PSMA PET images might be a potential predictive value for response to 177Lu-PSMA therapy in mCRPC; however, further prospective studies need to be carried out to verify these findings.