Evidence map›Paper›PMID 36565585›Full record

ArticleJournal of health economics2023

Intended and unintended effects of e-cigarette taxes on youth tobacco use.

Rahi Abouk, Charles Courtemanche, Dhaval Dave, Bo Feng, Abigail S Friedman, Johanna Catherine Maclean, Michael F Pesko, Joseph J Sabia, Samuel Safford

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Journal of health economics, 2023. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 41 papers, 3 of them syntheses that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
41citing papers in PubMed, 3 pooled it
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

41 citing papers in PubMed, 3 syntheses or guidelines pooled it.

  1. Pooled it
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  4. Article
  5. E-CIGARETTE FLAVOR RESTRICTIONS' EFFECTS ON TOBACCO PRODUCT SALES.American journal of health economics · 2026
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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

9 authors.

Rahi AboukDepartment of Economics, Finance, and Global Business, William Paterson University, Wayne, NJ, United States.
Charles CourtemancheDepartment of Economics, Gatton College of Business and Economics, University of Kentucky, Lexington, KY, United States; National Bureau of Economics Research, Cambridge, MA, United States; Institute for Labor Studies, Bonn, Germany.
Dhaval DaveNational Bureau of Economics Research, Cambridge, MA, United States; Institute for Labor Studies, Bonn, Germany; Department of Economics, Bentley University, Waltham, MA, United States.
Bo FengAmerican Institutes for Research, Columbia, MD, United States.
Abigail S FriedmanDepartment of Health Policy & Management, Yale School of Public Health, Yale University, New Haven, CT, United States.
Johanna Catherine MacleanNational Bureau of Economics Research, Cambridge, MA, United States; Institute for Labor Studies, Bonn, Germany; Schar School of Policy and Government, George Mason University, Arlington, VA, United States.
Michael F PeskoInstitute for Labor Studies, Bonn, Germany; Department of Economics, Andrew Young School of Policy Studies, Georgia State University, Atlanta, GA, United States. Electronic address: mpesko@gsu.edu.
Joseph J SabiaInstitute for Labor Studies, Bonn, Germany; Center for Health Economics & Policy Studies, San Diego State University, San Diego, CA, United States.
Samuel SaffordCenter for Health Economics & Policy Studies, San Diego State University, San Diego, CA, United States; Department of Sociology, Michigan State University, East Lansing, MI, United States.

Funding

The Impacts of Vaping Regulations on Perceptions, Access, Prices, and Tobacco UseR01DA045016 · NIDA · UNIVERSITY OF MISSOURI-COLUMBIA · PI Michael Pesko · 2018 to 2026
$4.2M
The Economics of Electronic Nicotine Delivery Systems: Advertising and OutcomesR01DA039968 · NIDA · NATIONAL BUREAU OF ECONOMIC RESEARCH · PI DAVE, DHAVAL M. · 2016 to 2020
$1.7M
NIDA NIH HHS R01 DA039968NIDA NIH HHS R01 DA045016
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Over the past decade, rising youth use of e-cigarettes and other electronic nicotine delivery systems (ENDS) has contributed to aggressive regulation by state and local governments. Between 2010 and mid-2019, ten states and two large counties adopted ENDS taxes. We use two large national surveys (Monitoring the Future and the Youth Risk Behavior Surveillance System) to estimate the impact of ENDS taxes on youth tobacco use. We find that ENDS taxes reduce youth ENDS consumption, with estimated ENDS tax elasticities of -0.06 to -0.21. However, we estimate sizable positive cigarette cross-tax effects, suggesting economic substitution between cigarettes and ENDS for youth. These substitution effects are particularly large for frequent cigarette smoking. We conclude that the unintended effects of ENDS taxation may considerably undercut or even outweigh any public health gains.

Indexed as

Electronic Nicotine Delivery SystemsTobacco ProductsAdolescentHumansPublic HealthTaxesTobacco UseUnited StatesCigarettesE-cigarettesElectronic nicotine delivery systems (ENDS)SmokingTaxesVapingYouth

Identifiers

PMID36565585
PMCPMC9879683

What OpenQuestion holds

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Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.