ArticleResearch square2022
Understanding COVID-19 Vaccine Effectiveness Against Death Using a Novel Measure: COVID Excess Mortality Percentage.
Article in Research square, 2022. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 1 paper.
What it found
Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.
The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.
The trial behind it
Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.
Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.
Who cites it
1 citing paper in PubMed.
- Frontiers in plant RNA research in ICAR2023: from lab to innovative agriculture.Plant molecular biology · 2024Article
Corrections and comments
- Updated by
Authors and funding
10 authors.
Funding
No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.
Abstract
COVID-19 vaccines have saved millions of lives and prevented countless adverse patient disease outcomes. Understanding the long-term effectiveness of these vaccines is imperative to developing recommendations for precautions and booster doses. Comparisons between more and less vaccinated groups may be misleading due to selection bias, as these groups may differ in underlying health status and thus risk of adverse COVID-19 outcomes. We study all adult deaths over April 1, 2021-June 30, 2022 in Milwaukee County, Wisconsin, linked to vaccination records, use mortality from other natural causes to proxy for underlying health, and report relative COVID-19 mortality risk (RMR) for vaccinees versus the unvaccinated, using a novel outcome measure that controls for selection effects. This measure, COVID Excess Mortality Percentage (CEMP) uses the non-COVID natural mortality rate (Non-Covid-NMR) as a measure of population risk of COVID mortality without vaccination. We validate this measure during the pre-vaccine period (r = 0.97) and demonstrate that selection effects are large, with Non-Covid-NMRs for two-dose vaccinees less than half those for the unvaccinated, and Non-COVID NMRs still lower for three dose (booster) recipients. Progressive waning of two-dose effectiveness is observed, with relative mortality risk (RMR) for two-dose vaccinees aged 60 + versus the unvaccinated of 11% during April-June 2021, rising steadily to 36% during the Omicron period (January-June, 2022). Notably, a booster dose reduced RMR to 10-11% for ages 60+. Boosters thus provide important additional protection against mortality.
Identifiers
What OpenQuestion holds
Registered trials
Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.