Evidence map›Paper›PMID 36551535›Full record

ArticleCancers2022

Trends in Esophageal Adenocarcinoma and Esophageal Squamous Cell Carcinoma Incidence in the United States from 1992 to 2019.

Kyle S Liu, Syed Ahsan Raza, Hashem B El-Serag, Aaron P Thrift

Open access · goldAbstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Cancers, 2022. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 18 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
18citing papers in PubMed
5.4field-weighted citation impact, top 3% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

18 citing papers in PubMed, 25 citations in OpenAlex.

  1. Article
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  5. Gastro-Esophageal Disorders of the Geriatric Population.The American journal of gastroenterology · 2025
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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

4 authors at 2 institutions in 1 country.

Kyle S LiuSection of Epidemiology and Population Sciences, Department of Medicine, Baylor College of Medicine, Houston, TX 77030, USA.
Syed Ahsan RazaSection of Epidemiology and Population Sciences, Department of Medicine, Baylor College of Medicine, Houston, TX 77030, USA.
Hashem B El-SeragSection of Gastroenterology and Hepatology, Department of Medicine, Baylor College of Medicine, Houston, TX 77030, USA.
Aaron P ThriftSection of Epidemiology and Population Sciences, Department of Medicine, Baylor College of Medicine, Houston, TX 77030, USA.ORCID 0000-0002-0084-5308
Baylor College of Medicine · USMichael E. DeBakey VA Medical Center · US

Funding

Cancer Prevention and Research Institute of Texas RP210037
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundEsophageal cancer (EC) incidence rates overall have declined in recent decades; however, the two main subtypes, esophageal adenocarcinoma (EAC) and esophageal squamous cell carcinoma (ESCC), show divergent secular trends.

methodsAge-adjusted EC incidence rates were calculated using data from the Surveillance Epidemiology and End Results (SEER) 12 Program. We examined secular trends from 1992 to 2019 overall and by age group, sex, race/ethnicity, tumor location, and SEER registry. Joinpoint regression was used to compute annual percent changes (APC) and average annual percent changes (AAPC). We used age-period-cohort models to examine the potential impact of period and birth cohort effects on trends.

resultsBetween 1992 and 2019, overall EC incidence rates declined by 0.54% annually (95% confidence interval [CI]: -0.75%, -0.33%). While ESCC rates declined linearly throughout the study period (AAPC = -2.85; 95%CI: -3.05%, -2.65%), EAC rates increased by over 5% annually from 1992 to 2000 (APC = 5.17; 95%CI: 3.28%, 7.10%), before stabilizing from 2000 to 2019 (APC = 0.22; 95%CI: -0.16%, 0.60%). Trends in ESCC and EAC varied by age group, sex, and race/ethnicity. Relative to ESCC rates among cohorts born circa 1950, the rates were 81% lower in cohorts born circa 1985 (rate ratio, 0.19; 95%CI: 0.04, 0.96). For EAC, rates have remained stable across successive birth cohorts since 1950.

conclusionsWe observed linear declines in EC rates overall and for ESCC across age, sex, and race/ethnicity subgroups, but an inconsistent pattern for EAC. The trends in EAC cohorts born after 1955 were stable and suggest that EAC rates may have peaked in the U.S.

Indexed as

birth cohortesophageal cancerincidence

Identifiers

PMID36551535
PMCPMC9775957
OpenAlexW4311969064

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
LicenceCC BY
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.