ArticleFrontiers in pediatrics2022
Risk of paediatric multisystem inflammatory syndrome (PIMS-TS) during the SARS-CoV-2 alpha and delta variant waves: National observational and modelling study, 2020-21, England.
Article in Frontiers in pediatrics, 2022. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 8 papers.
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Who cites it
8 citing papers in PubMed, 12 citations in OpenAlex.
- Lesson From Practice: Not Gone, Should Not Be Forgotten: Recognising PIMS-TS Cases in a Post-Pandemic World.The Medical journal of Australia · 2026Article
- Distinctive T-cell receptor repertoire in paediatric inflammatory multisystem syndrome temporally associated with coronavirus disease 2019/multisystem inflammatory syndrome in children patients: possible thymus involvement.Clinical and experimental immunology · 2025Article
- Programmed Cell Death Protein-1 Regulation in Response to SARS-CoV-2 in Paediatric Multisystem Inflammatory Syndrome Temporally Associated with SARS-CoV-2: A Prospective Cohort Study.International journal of molecular sciences · 2024Article
- Longitudinal Characterization of Immune Response in a Cohort of Children Hospitalized with Multisystem Inflammatory Syndrome.Children (Basel, Switzerland) · 2023Article
- Multi-Inflammatory Syndrome in Children (MIS-C) in 2023: Is It Time to Forget about It?Children (Basel, Switzerland) · 2023Article
- Demographic, clinical and laboratory differences between paediatric acute COVID-19 and PIMS-TS-results from a single centre study in the UK.Frontiers in pediatrics · 2023Article
- The changing epidemiology of PIMS-TS across COVID-19 waves: prospective national surveillance, January 2021 to July 2022, England.The Journal of infection · 2022Article
- Vitamin D may influence disease course in PIMS-TS/MIS-C: An observational cohort study.Pediatrics international : official journal of the Japan Pediatric SocietyObservational
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Authors and funding
13 authors at 7 institutions in 2 countries.
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Abstract
Objectives: Paediatric Multisystem Inflammatory Syndrome (PIMS-TS) is a rare life-threatening complication that typically occurs several weeks after SARS-CoV-2 infection in children and young people (CYP). We used national and regional-level data from the COVID-19 pandemic waves in England to develop a model to predict PIMS-TS cases. Methods: SARS-CoV-2 infections in CYP aged 0-15 years in England were estimated using the PHE-Cambridge real-time model. PIMS-TS cases were identified through the British Paediatric Surveillance Unit during (March-June 2020) and through Secondary Uses Services (SUS) from November 2020. A predictive model was developed to estimate PIMS-TS risk and lag times after SARS-CoV-2 infections. Results: During the Alpha wave, the model accurately predicted PIMS-TS cases (506 vs. 502 observed cases), with a median estimated risk of 0.038% (IQR, 0.037-0.041%) of paediatric SARS-CoV-2 infections. For the Delta wave, the median risk of PIMS-TS was significantly lower at 0.026% (IQR, 0.025-0.029%), with 212 observed PIMS-TS cases compared to 450 predicted by the model. Conclusions: The model accurately predicted national and regional PIMS-TS cases in CYP during the Alpha wave. PIMS-TS cases were 53% lower than predicted during the Delta wave. Further studies are needed to understand the mechanisms of the observed lower risk with the Delta variant.
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