Evidence map›Paper›PMID 36544119›Full record

ArticleBMC psychiatry2022

A hybrid machine learning model of depression estimation in home-based older adults: a 7-year follow-up study.

Shaowu Lin, Yafei Wu, Ya Fang

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in BMC psychiatry, 2022. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 14 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
14citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

14 citing papers in PubMed.

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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

3 authors.

Shaowu Lin *The State Key Laboratory of Molecular Vaccine and Molecular Diagnostics, School of Public Health, Xiamen University, Xiamen, 361102, China.
Yafei Wu *The State Key Laboratory of Molecular Vaccine and Molecular Diagnostics, School of Public Health, Xiamen University, Xiamen, 361102, China.
Ya FangThe State Key Laboratory of Molecular Vaccine and Molecular Diagnostics, School of Public Health, Xiamen University, Xiamen, 361102, China. fangya@xmu.edu.cn.

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundOur aim was to explore whether a two-step hybrid machine learning model has the potential to discover the onset of depression in home-based older adults.

methodsDepression data (collected in the year 2011, 2013, 2015 and 2018) of home-based older Chinese (n = 2,548) recruited in the China Health and Retirement Longitudinal Study were included in the current analysis. The long short-term memory network (LSTM) was applied to identify the risk factors of participants in 2015 utilizing the first 2 waves of data. Based on the identified predictors, three ML classification algorithms (i.e., gradient boosting decision tree, support vector machine and random forest) were evaluated with a 10-fold cross-validation procedure and a metric of the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUROC) to estimate the depressive outcome.

resultsTime-varying predictors of the depression were successfully identified by LSTM (mean squared error =0.8). The mean AUCs of the three predictive models had a range from 0.703 to 0.749. Among the prediction variables, self-reported health status, cognition, sleep time, self-reported memory and ADL (activities of daily living) disorder were the top five important variables.

conclusionsA two-step hybrid model based on "LSTM+ML" framework can be robust in predicting depression over a 5-year period with easily accessible sociodemographic and health information.

Indexed as

Activities of Daily LivingDepressionAgedFollow-Up StudiesHumansLongitudinal StudiesMachine LearningDepressionHome-based elderlyLSTMMachine learningPrediction

Identifiers

PMID36544119
PMCPMC9768728

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.