Evidence map›Paper›PMID 36540899›Full record

ArticleClinical epidemiology2022

Global Patterns and Trends in Total Burden of Hepatitis B from 1990 to 2019 and Predictions to 2030.

Chi Zhang, Yiqi Liu, Hong Zhao, Guiqiang Wang

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Clinical epidemiology, 2022. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 30 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
30citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

30 citing papers in PubMed.

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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

4 authors.

Chi ZhangDepartment of Infectious Disease, Center for Liver Disease, Peking University First Hospital, Beijing, 100034, People's Republic of China.
Yiqi LiuDepartment of Infectious Disease, Center for Liver Disease, Peking University First Hospital, Beijing, 100034, People's Republic of China.
Hong ZhaoDepartment of Infectious Disease, Center for Liver Disease, Peking University First Hospital, Beijing, 100034, People's Republic of China.
Guiqiang WangDepartment of Infectious Disease, Center for Liver Disease, Peking University First Hospital, Beijing, 100034, People's Republic of China.

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Background and Aims: Despite widespread vaccination against hepatitis B and availability of antiviral drugs, hepatitis B remained a major global public health problem. Therefore, an improved understanding of the burden of hepatitis B was required to help design strategies for global intervention. Methods: Data on hepatitis B was collected by the Global Burden of Disease (GBD) 2019 database from 1990 to 2019. Age-standardized incidence rates (ASIR), mortality rates (ASMR) and disability-adjusted life year rates (ASDR) for hepatitis B were extracted from GBD 2019 and stratified by age, level of regionals and country. Estimated annual percentage changes (EAPC) of ASIR, ASMR and ASDR were calculated to quantify the temporal trends in hepatitis B. Results: Globally, ASIR showed a continuous downward trend, from 1552.2 in 1990 to 1010.0 per 100,000 persons in 2019, with an annual decrease of 1.52% (95% CI -1.66--1.38). ASMR showed a persistent decline, declining by nearly half in 2019 compared to 1990 (6.7 vs 12.4 per 100,000 persons), with an annual decrease of 2.55% (95% CI -2.74--2.35). ASDR showed a continuing downward trend, and the EAPC was -2.55% (95% CI -2.74--2.35). This decreasing pattern was heterogeneous across regions and countries. Hepatitis B related deaths increased significantly in high socio-demographic index countries such as UK, USA, and Canada. The ARIMA model estimates a 36.14% and 6.00% decrease in ASIR and ASMR, respectively, by 2030 compared to 2015. Conclusion: Global hepatitis B morbidity and mortality rates decreased significantly from 1990 to 2019, but with a high degree of heterogeneity among regions and countries. It was still far from achieving the WHO goal of elimination of viral hepatitis by 2030, especially mortality rate.

Indexed as

age-standardized incidence ratesage-standardized mortality rateshepatitis Bprevention

Identifiers

PMID36540899
PMCPMC9760077

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.