Evidence map›Paper›PMID 36537288›Full record

SynthesisCirculation2023

Prospective Association of Daily Steps With Cardiovascular Disease: A Harmonized Meta-Analysis.

Amanda E Paluch, Shivangi Bajpai, Marcel Ballin, David R Bassett, Thomas W Buford, Mercedes R Carnethon, Ariel Chernofsky, Erin E Dooley, Ulf Ekelund, Kelly R Evenson and 22 more

Open access · bronzeAbstract readMeta-Analysis
In one paragraph

Synthesis in Circulation, 2023. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 56 papers, 2 of them syntheses that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
56citing papers in PubMed, 2 pooled it
15.1field-weighted citation impact, top 1% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

56 citing papers in PubMed, 2 syntheses or guidelines pooled it, 101 citations in OpenAlex.

  1. Pooled it
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  4. Trial
  5. Article
  6. Association between PMBMC cardiovascular disorders · 2026
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  14. Digital assessment of real-world walking in people with impaired mobility: How many hours and days are needed?The international journal of behavioral nutrition and physical activity · 2025
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  19. Observational
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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

32 authors at 18 institutions in 4 countries.

Amanda E PaluchDepartment of Kinesiology, Institute for Applied Life Sciences, University of Massachusetts Amherst (A.E.P., S.B., L.K.).ORCID 0000-0003-4244-9511
Shivangi BajpaiDepartment of Kinesiology, Institute for Applied Life Sciences, University of Massachusetts Amherst (A.E.P., S.B., L.K.).
Marcel BallinDepartments of Community Medicine and Rehabilitation, Unit of Geriatric Medicine (M.B., A.N., P.N.), Umeå University, Sweden.ORCID 0000-0002-9638-7208
David R BassettDepartment of Kinesiology, Recreation, and Sport Studies, University of Tennessee, Knoxville (D.R.B.), University of Alabama at Birmingham.
Thomas W BufordDepartments of Medicine, Division of Gerontology/Geriatrics/Palliative Care (T.W.B.), University of Alabama at Birmingham.
Mercedes R CarnethonDepartment of Preventive Medicine, Northwestern University Feinberg School of Medicine, Chicago, IL (M.R.C.).ORCID 0000-0001-7035-0848
Ariel ChernofskyDepartment of Biostatistics, Boston University, MA (A.C., M.G.L.).ORCID 0000-0002-7104-409X
Erin E DooleyEpidemiology (E.E.D.' K.P.G.), University of Alabama at Birmingham.ORCID 0000-0001-9881-5053
Ulf EkelundDepartment of Sport Medicine, Norwegian School of Sport Sciences, Oslo (U.E.).ORCID 0000-0003-2115-9267
Kelly R EvensonDepartment of Epidemiology, Gillings School of Global Public Health, University of North Carolina Chapel Hill (K.R.E.).
Deborah A GaluskaDivision of Nutrition, Physical Activity, and Obesity, National Center for Chronic Disease Prevention and Health Promotion, Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, Atlanta, GA (D.A.G., J.E.F.).
Barbara J JefferisDepartment of Primary Care and Population Health, University College London Medical School, London, United Kingdom (B.J.J.).
Lingsong KongDepartment of Kinesiology, Institute for Applied Life Sciences, University of Massachusetts Amherst (A.E.P., S.B., L.K.).
William E KrausDuke Molecular Physiology Institute, Durham, NC (W.E.K.).ORCID 0000-0003-1930-9684
Martin G LarsonDepartment of Biostatistics, Boston University, MA (A.C., M.G.L.).
I-Min LeeBrigham and Women's Hospital, Harvard Medical School and Department of Epidemiology, Harvard T.H. Chan School of Public Health, Boston, MA (I-M.L.).ORCID 0000-0002-1083-6907
Charles E MatthewsDivision of Cancer Epidemiology and Genetics, National Cancer Institute, Rockville, MD (C.E.M.).
Robert L NewtonPennington Biomedical Research Center, Baton Rouge, LA (R.L.N., S.Y.).ORCID 0000-0002-6863-913X
Anna NordströmDepartments of Community Medicine and Rehabilitation, Unit of Geriatric Medicine (M.B., A.N., P.N.), Umeå University, Sweden.ORCID 0000-0003-3534-456X
Peter NordströmDepartments of Community Medicine and Rehabilitation, Unit of Geriatric Medicine (M.B., A.N., P.N.), Umeå University, Sweden.ORCID 0000-0003-2924-508X
Priya PaltaDepartment of Medicine, Columbia University, New York (P.P.).
Alpa V PatelAmerican Cancer Society, Population Science Department, Atlanta, GA (A.V.P., E.R-P.).
Kelley Pettee GabrielEpidemiology (E.E.D.' K.P.G.), University of Alabama at Birmingham.ORCID 0000-0003-4986-7927
Carl F PieperDepartment of Medicine, Duke University, Durham, NC (W.E.K., C.F.P.).ORCID 0000-0003-4809-1725
Lisa PompeiiDepartment of Pediatrics, Center for Epidemiology and Population Health, Baylor College of Medicine, Houston, TX (L.P.).
Erika Rees-PuniaAmerican Cancer Society, Population Science Department, Atlanta, GA (A.V.P., E.R-P.).
Nicole L SpartanoDepartments of Endocrinology, Diabetes, Nutrition and Weight Management (N.L.S.), Boston University School of Medicine, MA.
Ramachandran S VasanMedicine and Epidemiology (R.S.V.), Boston University School of Medicine, MA.ORCID 0000-0001-7357-5970
Peter H WhincupPopulation Health Research Institute, St George's' University of London, United Kingdom (P.H.W.).
Shengping YangPennington Biomedical Research Center, Baton Rouge, LA (R.L.N., S.Y.).
Janet E FultonDivision of Nutrition, Physical Activity, and Obesity, National Center for Chronic Disease Prevention and Health Promotion, Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, Atlanta, GA (D.A.G., J.E.F.).
Steps for Health Collaborative
Boston University · USUniversity of Alabama at Birmingham · USUniversity of Massachusetts Amherst · USAmerican Cancer Society · USCenters for Disease Control and Prevention · USDuke University · USPennington Biomedical Research Center · USUmeå University · SEBaylor College of Medicine · USBrigham and Women's Hospital · USColumbia University · USNational Cancer Institute · USNorthwestern University · USNorwegian Institute of Public Health · NOSt George's, University of London · GBUiT The Arctic University of Norway · NOUniversity College London · GBUniversity of North Carolina at Chapel Hill · US

Funding

UF FIELD CENTERU01AG022376 · NIA · WAKE FOREST UNIVERSITY HEALTH SCIENCES · PI PAHOR, MARCO · 2003 to 2015
$83.3M
Tracking & Evaluation CoreU54GM104940 · NIGMS · LSU PENNINGTON BIOMEDICAL RESEARCH CTR · PI Peter Todd Katzmarzyk · 2012 to 2026
$69.1M
FRAMINGHAM HEART STUDY - YEAR 5 EXAM75N92019D00031 · NHLBI · BOSTON UNIVERSITY MEDICAL CAMPUS · 2019 to 2024
$29.8M
Research BaseP30DK072476 · NIDDK · LSU PENNINGTON BIOMEDICAL RESEARCH CTR · PI Peter Todd Katzmarzyk · 2005 to 2026
$26.5M
Proteomic Profiling of Precise Exercise Pathophenotypes Across the HFpEF SpectrumR01HL131029 · NHLBI · MASSACHUSETTS GENERAL HOSPITAL · PI Gregory Dyer Lewis, Matthew G. Nayor · 2016 to 2026
$7.7M
20 YEAR CHANGES IN FITNESS &CARDIOVASCULAR DISEASE RISKR01HL078972 · NHLBI · KAISER FOUNDATION RESEARCH INSTITUTE · PI SIDNEY, STEPHEN · 2005 to 2008
$6.1M
JACKSON HEART STUDY--EXAM CENTERN01HC095171 · HC · UNIVERSITY OF MISSISSIPPI MEDICAL CENTER · PI JONES, DANIEL W · 1999 to 2001
$4.6M
10-Year Changes in Objectively-Measured Physical Activity and Sedentary Behavior in the CARDIA CohortR56HL125423 · NHLBI · KAISER FOUNDATION RESEARCH INSTITUTE · PI GABRIEL, KELLEY PETTEE, SIDNEY, STEPHEN · 2015 to 2015
$689k
Physical Activity, Cardiometabolic Risk, and Target-Organ Damage in Older AdultsR01AG047645 · NIA · BOSTON UNIVERSITY MEDICAL CAMPUS · PI RAMACHANDRAN, VASAN S · 2014 to 2015
$661k
The Associations of Mid- and Late-Life Physical Activity on Falls in a Large Prospective Study of Older AdultsR56AG049886 · NIA · UNIVERSITY OF TEXAS HLTH SCI CTR HOUSTON · PI GABRIEL, KELLEY PETTEE, POMPEII, LISA A · 2015 to 2015
$542k
JACKSON HEART STUDY--TRAINING CENTERN01HC095172 · HC · TOUGALOO COLLEGE · PI SRINIVASAN, ASOKA · 1999 to 2001
$516k
JACKSON HEART STUDY-N01HC95170N01HC095170 · HC · JACKSON STATE UNIVERSITY · PI TAYLOR, HERMAN ALFRED · 1999 to 2006
$20k
British Heart Foundation PG/13/86/30546British Heart Foundation RG/19/4/34452NHLBI NIH HHS 75N92019D00031NHLBI NIH HHS HHSN268201500001CNHLBI NIH HHS HHSN268201500001INHLBI NIH HHS HHSN268201700001CNHLBI NIH HHS HHSN268201700001INHLBI NIH HHS HHSN268201700002CNHLBI NIH HHS HHSN268201700002INHLBI NIH HHS HHSN268201700003CNHLBI NIH HHS HHSN268201700003INHLBI NIH HHS HHSN268201700004CNHLBI NIH HHS HHSN268201700004INHLBI NIH HHS HHSN268201700005CNHLBI NIH HHS HHSN268201700005INHLBI NIH HHS HHSN268201800003INHLBI NIH HHS HHSN268201800004INHLBI NIH HHS HHSN268201800005INHLBI NIH HHS HHSN268201800006INHLBI NIH HHS HHSN268201800007INHLBI NIH HHS N01 HC095170NHLBI NIH HHS N01 HC095171NHLBI NIH HHS N01 HC095172NHLBI NIH HHS R01 HL078972NHLBI NIH HHS R01 HL131029NHLBI NIH HHS R56 HL125423NIA NIH HHS R01 AG047645NIA NIH HHS R56 AG049886NIA NIH HHS U01 AG022376NIDDK NIH HHS P30 DK072476NIGMS NIH HHS U54 GM104940
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundTaking fewer than the widely promoted "10 000 steps per day" has recently been associated with lower risk of all-cause mortality. The relationship of steps and cardiovascular disease (CVD) risk remains poorly described. A meta-analysis examining the dose-response relationship between steps per day and CVD can help inform clinical and public health guidelines.

methodsEight prospective studies (20 152 adults [ie, ≥18 years of age]) were included with device-measured steps and participants followed for CVD events. Studies quantified steps per day and CVD events were defined as fatal and nonfatal coronary heart disease, stroke, and heart failure. Cox proportional hazards regression analyses were completed using study-specific quartiles and hazard ratios (HR) and 95% CI were meta-analyzed with inverse-variance-weighted random effects models.

resultsThe mean age of participants was 63.2±12.4 years and 52% were women. The mean follow-up was 6.2 years (123 209 person-years), with a total of 1523 CVD events (12.4 per 1000 participant-years) reported. There was a significant difference in the association of steps per day and CVD between older (ie, ≥60 years of age) and younger adults (ie, <60 years of age). For older adults, the HR for quartile 2 was 0.80 (95% CI, 0.69 to 0.93), 0.62 for quartile 3 (95% CI, 0.52 to 0.74), and 0.51 for quartile 4 (95% CI, 0.41 to 0.63) compared with the lowest quartile. For younger adults, the HR for quartile 2 was 0.79 (95% CI, 0.46 to 1.35), 0.90 for quartile 3 (95% CI, 0.64 to 1.25), and 0.95 for quartile 4 (95% CI, 0.61 to 1.48) compared with the lowest quartile. Restricted cubic splines demonstrated a nonlinear association whereby more steps were associated with decreased risk of CVD among older adults.

conclusionsFor older adults, taking more daily steps was associated with a progressively decreased risk of CVD. Monitoring and promoting steps per day is a simple metric for clinician-patient communication and population health to reduce the risk of CVD.

Indexed as

Cardiovascular DiseasesCoronary DiseaseHeart FailureAgedFemaleHumansMaleMiddle AgedProspective StudiesRisk Factorscardiovascular diseaseexercisepublic healthrisk reduction behavior

Identifiers

PMID36537288
PMCPMC9839547
OpenAlexW4311963388

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Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.