Evidence map›Paper›PMID 36534147›Full record

ArticleBlood advances2023

Enriching single-arm clinical trials with external controls: possibilities and pitfalls.

Jérôme Lambert, Etienne Lengliné, Raphaël Porcher, Rodolphe Thiébaut, Sarah Zohar, Sylvie Chevret

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Blood advances, 2023. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 19 papers, 1 of them a synthesis that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
19citing papers in PubMed, 1 pooled it
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

19 citing papers in PubMed, 1 synthesis or guideline pooled it.

  1. Pooled it
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  9. Real-World Data and Causal Machine Learning to Enhance Drug Development.Therapeutic innovation & regulatory science · 2025
    Review
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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

6 authors.

Jérôme LambertBiostatistical Department, Hôpital Saint-Louis, Assistance Publique-Hôpitaux de Paris, Paris, France.ORCID 0000-0001-7086-9295
Etienne LenglinéDepartment of Hematology, Hôpital Saint-Louis, Assistance Publique-Hôpitaux de Paris, Paris, France.ORCID 0000-0003-0965-6615
Raphaël PorcherCenter for Clinical Epidemiology, Hôtel-Dieu, Assistance Publique-Hôpitaux de Paris, Paris, France.ORCID 0000-0002-5277-4679
Rodolphe ThiébautMedical Information Department, Centre Hospitalier Universitaire Bordeaux, Bordeaux, France.ORCID 0000-0002-5235-3962
Sarah ZoharCentre de Recherche des Cordeliers, Université Paris Cité, Sorbonne Université, INSERM, Paris, France.ORCID 0000-0002-8429-2340
Sylvie ChevretBiostatistical Department, Hôpital Saint-Louis, Assistance Publique-Hôpitaux de Paris, Paris, France.ORCID 0000-0001-6449-4730

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

For the past decade, it has become commonplace to provide rapid answers and early patient access to innovative treatments in the absence of randomized clinical trials (RCT), with benefits estimated from single-arm trials. This trend is important in oncology, notably when assessing new targeted therapies. Some of those uncontrolled trials further include an external/synthetic control group as an innovative way to provide an indirect comparison with a pertinent control group. We aimed to provide some guidelines as a comprehensive tool for (1) the critical appraisal of those comparisons or (2) for performing a single-arm trial. We used the example of ciltacabtagene autoleucel for the treatment of adult patients with relapsed or refractory multiple myeloma after 3 or more treatment lines as an illustrative example. We propose a 3-step guidance. The first step includes the definition of an estimand, which encompasses the treatment effect and the targeted population (whole population or restricted to single-arm trial or external controls), reflecting a clinical question. The second step relies on the adequate selection of external controls from previous RCTs or real-world data from patient cohorts, registries, or electronic patient files. The third step consists of choosing the statistical approach targeting the treatment effect defined above and depends on the available data (individual-level data or aggregated external data). The validity of the treatment effect derived from indirect comparisons heavily depends on careful methodological considerations included in the proposed 3-step procedure. Because the level of evidence of a well-conducted RCT cannot be guaranteed, the evaluation is more important than in standard settings.

Indexed as

Multiple MyelomaAdultClinical Trials as TopicHumansMedical Oncology

Identifiers

PMID36534147
PMCPMC10539876

What OpenQuestion holds

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LicenceCC BY-NC-ND
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Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.