ArticleStochastic environmental research and risk assessment : research journal2023
Spatio-temporal modeling of infectious diseases by integrating compartment and point process models.
Article in Stochastic environmental research and risk assessment : research journal, 2023. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 6 papers, 1 of them a synthesis that pooled it.
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The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.
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Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.
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Who cites it
6 citing papers in PubMed, 1 synthesis or guideline pooled it, 17 citations in OpenAlex.
- Spatio-Temporal COVID-19 Modeling: A Global Systematic Review of Data Integration, Equity, and Lessons for Pandemic Preparedness.International journal of environmental research and public health · 2026Pooled it
- Bridging Traditional Modeling and Artificial Intelligence in Measles Epidemiology: Methods, Applications, and Future Directions-A Narrative Review.Journal of clinical medicine · 2026Review
- Modeling the effects of pandemics on physiology-related fertility decline in society.Frontiers in epidemiology · 2026Article
- Bayesian Graphical Models for Multiscale Inference in Medical Image-Based Joint Degeneration Analysis.Diagnostics (Basel, Switzerland) · 2025Review
- Impact of incubation and gestation periods on the dynamics of a spatially heterogeneous eco-epidemiological model.Scientific reports · 2025Article
- Maritime transportation and people mobility in the early diffusion of COVID-19 in Croatia.Frontiers in public health · 2023Article
Corrections and comments
PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.
Authors and funding
3 authors at 1 institution in 1 country.
Funding
No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.
Abstract
Infectious disease modeling plays an important role in understanding disease spreading dynamics and can be used for prevention and control. The well-known SIR (Susceptible, Infected, and Recovered) compartment model and spatial and spatio-temporal statistical models are common choices for studying problems of this kind. This paper proposes a spatio-temporal modeling framework to characterize infectious disease dynamics by integrating the SIR compartment and log-Gaussian Cox process (LGCP) models. The method's performance is assessed via simulation using a combination of real and synthetic data for a region in São Paulo, Brazil. We also apply our modeling approach to analyze COVID-19 dynamics in Cali, Colombia. The results show that our modified LGCP model, which takes advantage of information obtained from the previous SIR modeling step, leads to a better forecasting performance than equivalent models that do not do that. Finally, the proposed method also allows the incorporation of age-stratified contact information, which provides valuable decision-making insights. Supplementary Information: The online version contains supplementary material available at 10.1007/s00477-022-02354-4.
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Registered trials
Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.