Evidence map›Paper›PMID 36526686›Full record

Observational studyScientific reports2022

Development of a machine-learning algorithm to predict in-hospital cardiac arrest for emergency department patients using a nationwide database.

Ji Hoon Kim, Arom Choi, Min Joung Kim, Heejung Hyun, Sunhee Kim, Hyuk-Jae Chang

Abstract readObservational Study
In one paragraph

Observational study in Scientific reports, 2022. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 10 papers, 1 of them a synthesis that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
10citing papers in PubMed, 1 pooled it
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

10 citing papers in PubMed, 1 synthesis or guideline pooled it.

  1. Pooled it
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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

6 authors.

Ji Hoon Kim *Department of Emergency Medicine, Yonsei University College of Medicine, 50-1 Yonsei-ro, Seodaemun-gu, Seoul, 03722, Republic of Korea.
Arom Choi *Department of Emergency Medicine, Yonsei University College of Medicine, 50-1 Yonsei-ro, Seodaemun-gu, Seoul, 03722, Republic of Korea.
Min Joung KimDepartment of Emergency Medicine, Yonsei University College of Medicine, 50-1 Yonsei-ro, Seodaemun-gu, Seoul, 03722, Republic of Korea. boringzzz@yuhs.ac.
Heejung HyunAITRICS, 28 Hyoryeongro77-gil, Seocho-gu, Seoul, 06627, Republic of Korea.
Sunhee KimCONNECT-AI Research Center, Yonsei University College of Medicine, 50-1 Yonsei-ro, Seodaemun-gu, Seoul, 03722, Republic of Korea.
Hyuk-Jae ChangDepartment of Cardiology, Yonsei University College of Medicine, 50-1 Yonsei-ro, Seodaemun-gu, Seoul, 03722, Republic of Korea.

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

In this retrospective observational study, we aimed to develop a machine-learning model using data obtained at the prehospital stage to predict in-hospital cardiac arrest in the emergency department (ED) of patients transferred via emergency medical services. The dataset was constructed by attaching the prehospital information from the National Fire Agency and hospital factors to data from the National Emergency Department Information System. Machine-learning models were developed using patient variables, with and without hospital factors. We validated model performance and used the SHapley Additive exPlanation model interpretation. In-hospital cardiac arrest occurred in 5431 of the 1,350,693 patients (0.4%). The extreme gradient boosting model showed the best performance with area under receiver operating curve of 0.9267 when incorporating the hospital factor. Oxygen supply, age, oxygen saturation, systolic blood pressure, the number of ED beds, ED occupancy, and pulse rate were the most influential variables, in that order. ED occupancy and in-hospital cardiac arrest occurrence were positively correlated, and the impact of ED occupancy appeared greater in small hospitals. The machine-learning predictive model using the integrated information acquired in the prehospital stage effectively predicted in-hospital cardiac arrest in the ED and can contribute to the efficient operation of emergency medical systems.

Indexed as

Heart ArrestEmergency Service, HospitalHospitalsHumansMachine LearningRetrospective Studies

Identifiers

PMID36526686
PMCPMC9758227

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Registered trials

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.