Evidence map›Paper›PMID 36526647›Full record

ArticleNPJ Parkinson's disease2022

Identification and prediction of Parkinson's disease subtypes and progression using machine learning in two cohorts.

Anant Dadu, Vipul Satone, Rachneet Kaur, Sayed Hadi Hashemi, Hampton Leonard, Hirotaka Iwaki, Mary B Makarious, Kimberley J Billingsley, Sara Bandres-Ciga, Lana J Sargent and 9 more

Open access · goldAbstract read
In one paragraph

Article in NPJ Parkinson's disease, 2022. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 54 papers, 1 of them a synthesis that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
54citing papers in PubMed, 1 pooled it
11.7field-weighted citation impact, top 1% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

54 citing papers in PubMed, 1 synthesis or guideline pooled it, 102 citations in OpenAlex.

  1. Pooled it
  2. Article
  3. Spatiotemporal Progression Patterns of Striatal Dopamine Depletion and Cerebral Hypoperfusion in Parkinson's Disease.Movement disorders : official journal of the Movement Disorder Society · 2026
    Article
  4. Long-Duration Response to Levodopa in the PPMI-Cohort.Movement disorders : official journal of the Movement Disorder Society · 2026
    Article
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  6. Review
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  13. Review
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  18. Observational
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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

19 authors at 5 institutions in 2 countries.

Anant DaduDepartment of Computer Science, University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign, Champaign, IL, 61820, USA.
Vipul SatoneDepartment of Industrial and Enterprise Systems Engineering, University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign, Champaign, IL, 61820, USA.
Rachneet KaurDepartment of Industrial and Enterprise Systems Engineering, University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign, Champaign, IL, 61820, USA.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0002-9223-4546
Sayed Hadi HashemiDepartment of Computer Science, University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign, Champaign, IL, 61820, USA.
Hampton LeonardCenter for Alzheimer's and Related Dementias (CARD), National Institute on Aging and National Institute of Neurological Disorders and Stroke, National Institutes of Health, Bethesda, MD, 20892, USA.
Hirotaka IwakiCenter for Alzheimer's and Related Dementias (CARD), National Institute on Aging and National Institute of Neurological Disorders and Stroke, National Institutes of Health, Bethesda, MD, 20892, USA.
Mary B MakariousLaboratory of Neurogenetics, National Institute on Aging, National Institutes of Health, Bethesda, MD, 20892, USA.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0002-7978-1051
Kimberley J BillingsleyLaboratory of Neurogenetics, National Institute on Aging, National Institutes of Health, Bethesda, MD, 20892, USA.
Sara Bandres-CigaCenter for Alzheimer's and Related Dementias (CARD), National Institute on Aging and National Institute of Neurological Disorders and Stroke, National Institutes of Health, Bethesda, MD, 20892, USA.
Lana J SargentCenter for Alzheimer's and Related Dementias (CARD), National Institute on Aging and National Institute of Neurological Disorders and Stroke, National Institutes of Health, Bethesda, MD, 20892, USA.
Alastair J NoyceUCL Movement Disorders Centre, University College London, London, UK.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0003-3027-5497
Ali DaneshmandDepartment of Neurology, Boston Medical Center, Boston University School of Medicine, Boston, MA, 02118, USA.
Cornelis BlauwendraatCenter for Alzheimer's and Related Dementias (CARD), National Institute on Aging and National Institute of Neurological Disorders and Stroke, National Institutes of Health, Bethesda, MD, 20892, USA.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0001-9358-8111
Ken MarekInviCRO LLC, Boston, MA, USA.
Sonja W ScholzNeurodegenerative Diseases Research Unit, National Institute of Neurological Disorders and Stroke, National Institutes of Health, Bethesda, MD, USA.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0002-6623-0429
Andrew B SingletonCenter for Alzheimer's and Related Dementias (CARD), National Institute on Aging and National Institute of Neurological Disorders and Stroke, National Institutes of Health, Bethesda, MD, 20892, USA.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0001-5606-700X
Mike A NallsCenter for Alzheimer's and Related Dementias (CARD), National Institute on Aging and National Institute of Neurological Disorders and Stroke, National Institutes of Health, Bethesda, MD, 20892, USA.
Roy H CampbellDepartment of Computer Science, University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign, Champaign, IL, 61820, USA.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0002-3754-7777
Faraz FaghriCenter for Alzheimer's and Related Dementias (CARD), National Institute on Aging and National Institute of Neurological Disorders and Stroke, National Institutes of Health, Bethesda, MD, 20892, USA. faraz.faghri@nih.gov.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0001-5744-8728
National Institutes of Health · USUniversity of Illinois Urbana-Champaign · USBoston University · USInvicro (United States) · USUniversity of Ulster · GB

Funding

U.S. Department of Health & Human Services | NIH | National Institute of Neurological Disorders and Stroke (NINDS) Z01-AG000949-02
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

The clinical manifestations of Parkinson's disease (PD) are characterized by heterogeneity in age at onset, disease duration, rate of progression, and the constellation of motor versus non-motor features. There is an unmet need for the characterization of distinct disease subtypes as well as improved, individualized predictions of the disease course. We used unsupervised and supervised machine learning methods on comprehensive, longitudinal clinical data from the Parkinson's Disease Progression Marker Initiative (n = 294 cases) to identify patient subtypes and to predict disease progression. The resulting models were validated in an independent, clinically well-characterized cohort from the Parkinson's Disease Biomarker Program (n = 263 cases). Our analysis distinguished three distinct disease subtypes with highly predictable progression rates, corresponding to slow, moderate, and fast disease progression. We achieved highly accurate projections of disease progression 5 years after initial diagnosis with an average area under the curve (AUC) of 0.92 (95% CI: 0.95 ± 0.01) for the slower progressing group (PDvec1), 0.87 ± 0.03 for moderate progressors, and 0.95 ± 0.02 for the fast-progressing group (PDvec3). We identified serum neurofilament light as a significant indicator of fast disease progression among other key biomarkers of interest. We replicated these findings in an independent cohort, released the analytical code, and developed models in an open science manner. Our data-driven study provides insights to deconstruct PD heterogeneity. This approach could have immediate implications for clinical trials by improving the detection of significant clinical outcomes. We anticipate that machine learning models will improve patient counseling, clinical trial design, and ultimately individualized patient care.

Identifiers

PMID36526647
PMCPMC9758217
OpenAlexW4312067188

What OpenQuestion holds

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LicenceCC BY
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Registered trials

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.