Evidence map›Paper›PMID 36517041›Full record

ArticleBMJ (Clinical research ed.)2022

Evaluation of editors' abilities to predict the citation potential of research manuscripts submitted to

Sara Schroter, Wim E J Weber, Elizabeth Loder, Jack Wilkinson, Jamie J Kirkham

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in BMJ (Clinical research ed.), 2022. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 1 paper.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
1citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

1 citing paper in PubMed.

  1. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

5 authors.

Sara SchroterBMJ, BMA House, Tavistock Square, London WC1H 9JR, UK sschroter@bmj.com.ORCID 0000-0002-8791-8564
Wim E J WeberBMJ, BMA House, Tavistock Square, London WC1H 9JR, UK.
Elizabeth LoderBMJ, BMA House, Tavistock Square, London WC1H 9JR, UK.
Jack WilkinsonUniversity of Manchester, Manchester Academic Health Science Centre, Manchester, UK.
Jamie J KirkhamUniversity of Manchester, Manchester Academic Health Science Centre, Manchester, UK.

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

objectiveTo evaluate the ability of

designCohort study.

settingManuscripts submitted to

participants10

main outcome measuresReviewed manuscripts were rated independently by attending editors for citation potential in the year of first publication plus the next year: no citations, below average (<10 citations), average (10-17 citations), or high (>17 citations). Predicted citations were subsequently compared with actual citations extracted from Web of Science (WOS).

resultsOf 534 manuscripts reviewed, 505 were published as full length articles (219 in

conclusionsEditors weren't good at estimating the citation potential of manuscripts individually or as a group; there is no wisdom of the crowd when it comes to

Indexed as

Cohort StudiesHumans

Identifiers

PMID36517041
PMCPMC9748632

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
LicenceCC BY-NC
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.