Evidence map›Paper›PMID 36516549›Full record

ArticleDrug and alcohol dependence2023

Intended and unintended consequences: Changes in opioid prescribing practices for postsurgical, acute, and chronic pain indications following two policies in North Carolina, 2012-2018 - Controlled and single-series interrupted time series analyses.

Courtney N Maierhofer, Shabbar I Ranapurwala, Bethany L DiPrete, Naoko Fulcher, Christopher L Ringwalt, Paul R Chelminski, Timothy J Ives, Nabarun Dasgupta, Vivian F Go, Brian W Pence

Open access · greenAbstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Drug and alcohol dependence, 2023. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 16 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
16citing papers in PubMed
3.2field-weighted citation impact, top 8% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

16 citing papers in PubMed, 16 citations in OpenAlex.

  1. Article
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  4. Review
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  6. Joint call to action paper-Pain disparities special issues: Why this, why now? A unified call at a critical time.Health psychology : official journal of the Division of Health Psychology, American Psychological Association · 2026
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  13. Pain Research and Treatment: Policy Implications.Policy insights from the behavioral and brain sciences · 2024
    Article
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  15. Article
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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

10 authors at 1 institution in 1 country.

Courtney N MaierhoferDepartment of Epidemiology, Gillings School of Global Public Health, University of North Carolina, 135 Dauer Drive, Chapel Hill, NC 27599, USA. Electronic address: cmaierhofer@unc.edu.
Shabbar I RanapurwalaDepartment of Epidemiology, Gillings School of Global Public Health, University of North Carolina, 135 Dauer Drive, Chapel Hill, NC 27599, USA; Injury Prevention Research Center, University of North Carolina, 521S Greensboro St, Carrboro, NC 27510, USA. Electronic address: sirana@email.unc.edu.
Bethany L DiPreteDepartment of Epidemiology, Gillings School of Global Public Health, University of North Carolina, 135 Dauer Drive, Chapel Hill, NC 27599, USA; Injury Prevention Research Center, University of North Carolina, 521S Greensboro St, Carrboro, NC 27510, USA. Electronic address: diprete@email.unc.edu.
Naoko FulcherInjury Prevention Research Center, University of North Carolina, 521S Greensboro St, Carrboro, NC 27510, USA. Electronic address: nfulcher@unc.edu.
Christopher L RingwaltInjury Prevention Research Center, University of North Carolina, 521S Greensboro St, Carrboro, NC 27510, USA; Department of Health Behavior, Gillings School of Global Public Health, University of North Carolina, 135 Dauer Drive, Chapel Hill, NC 27599, USA. Electronic address: cringwal@email.unc.edu.
Paul R ChelminskiDepartment of Medicine, School of Medicine, University of North Carolina at Chapel Hill, 321S. Columbia Street, Chapel Hill, NC 27599, USA. Electronic address: Paul_Chelminski@med.unc.edu.
Timothy J IvesDepartment of Medicine, School of Medicine, University of North Carolina at Chapel Hill, 321S. Columbia Street, Chapel Hill, NC 27599, USA; Division of Practice Advancement and Clinical Education, Eshelman School of Pharmacy, University of North Carolina at Chapel Hill, 301 Pharmacy Ln, Chapel Hill, NC 27599, USA. Electronic address: Timothy_Ives@med.unc.edu.
Nabarun DasguptaInjury Prevention Research Center, University of North Carolina, 521S Greensboro St, Carrboro, NC 27510, USA. Electronic address: nab@email.unc.edu.
Vivian F GoDepartment of Health Behavior, Gillings School of Global Public Health, University of North Carolina, 135 Dauer Drive, Chapel Hill, NC 27599, USA. Electronic address: vgo@live.unc.edu.
Brian W PenceDepartment of Epidemiology, Gillings School of Global Public Health, University of North Carolina, 135 Dauer Drive, Chapel Hill, NC 27599, USA. Electronic address: bpence@unc.edu.
University of North Carolina at Chapel Hill · US

Funding

North Carolina Translational & Clinical Sciences Institute (NC TraCS)UL1TR001111 · NCATS · UNIV OF NORTH CAROLINA CHAPEL HILL · PI BUSE, JOHN BERNARD, CAREY, TIMOTHY S · 2013 to 2017
$43.9M
Training in Sexually Transmitted Infections and HIVT32AI007001 · NIAID · UNIV OF NORTH CAROLINA CHAPEL HILL · PI SENA-SOBERANO, ARLENE C. · 1985 to 2025
$10.9M
Training in Infectious Disease Epidemiology (TIDE)T32AI070114 · NIAID · UNIV OF NORTH CAROLINA CHAPEL HILL · PI Brian W Pence · 2007 to 2026
$4.0M
Evaluation of state-mandated acute and post-surgical pain-specific CDC opioid prescribing guidelinesR01CE003009 · CE · UNIV OF NORTH CAROLINA CHAPEL HILL · PI RANAPURWALA, SHABBAR I · 2018 to 2020
$2.1M
Chronic pain management, opioid misuse, and risk of blood-borne infectionsR21DA046048 · NIDA · UNIV OF NORTH CAROLINA CHAPEL HILL · PI PENCE, BRIAN W · 2018 to 2019
$428k
ACL HHS R01CE003009NCATS NIH HHS UL1 TR001111NCIPC CDC HHS R01 CE003009NIAID NIH HHS T32 AI007001NIAID NIH HHS T32 AI070114NIDA NIH HHS R21 DA046048
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundThe potential misapplication of current opioid prescribing policies remains understudied and may have substantial adverse implications for patient safety.

methodsWe used autoregressive integrated moving average models to assess level and trend changes in monthly 1) prescribing rates, 2) days' supply, and 3) daily morphine milligram equivalents (MME) of incident opioid prescriptions relative to 1) a state medical board initiative to reduce high-dose and -volume opioid prescribing and 2) legislation to limit initial opioid prescriptions for acute and postsurgical pain. We examined outcomes by pain indication overall and by cancer history, using prescribing patterns for benzodiazepines to control for temporal trends. We used large private health insurance claims data to include North Carolina residents, aged 18-64, insured at any point between January 2012 and August 2018.

resultsAfter the medical board initiative, prescribing patterns for chronic pain patients did not change; conversely, acute and postsurgical pain patients experienced immediate declines in daily MME. Post-legislation prescription rates did not decline for those with acute, postsurgical, and non-cancer pain, but instead declined among cancer patients with chronic pain. Chronic pain patients experienced the largest days' supply declines post-legislation, instead of acute and postsurgical pain patients.

conclusionsWe found mixed evidence on the potential impact of two opioid prescribing policies, with some observed declines in a group not intended to be impacted by the policy. This study provides evidence of the need for clearer opioid prescribing policies to ensure impacts on intended populations and avoid unintended consequences.

Indexed as

Analgesics, OpioidChronic PainDrug PrescriptionsEndrinHumansInterrupted Time Series AnalysisNorth CarolinaPolicyPostoperative PainPractice Patterns, Physicians'Analgesics, OpioidEndrinMMEOpioid prescribing policiesOpioidsPainPrescriptionsUnintended consequences

Identifiers

PMID36516549
PMCPMC9801483
OpenAlexW4313424192

What OpenQuestion holds

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Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.