Evidence map›Paper›PMID 36510205›Full record

ArticleBMC public health2022

Impact of national COVID-19 restrictions on incidence of notifiable communicable diseases in England: an interrupted time series analysis.

Katrina Nash, Jo Lai, Karanbir Sandhu, Joht Singh Chandan, Saran Shantikumar, Fatai Ogunlayi, Paul C Coleman

Open access · goldAbstract read
In one paragraph

Article in BMC public health, 2022. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 17 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
17citing papers in PubMed
3.0field-weighted citation impact, top 8% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

17 citing papers in PubMed, 22 citations in OpenAlex.

  1. Observational
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  10. Impact of the COVID-19 pandemic on infectious diseases reporting.Journal of preventive medicine and hygiene · 2024
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  11. Increasing Rate of FatalMicroorganisms · 2024
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  15. Observational
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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

7 authors at 3 institutions in 1 country.

Katrina Nash *Oxford University Clinical Academic Graduate School, Oxford, OX3 9DU, UK.
Jo Lai *College of Medical and Dental Sciences, University of Birmingham, Birmingham, B15 2TT, UK.
Karanbir Sandhu *College of Medical and Dental Sciences, University of Birmingham, Birmingham, B15 2TT, UK.
Joht Singh ChandanInstitute of Applied Health Research, University of Birmingham, Birmingham, B15 2TT, UK. j.s.chandan.1@bham.ac.uk.
Saran ShantikumarWarwick Medical School, University of Warwick, Coventry, CV4 7AL, UK.
Fatai OgunlayiWarwick Medical School, University of Warwick, Coventry, CV4 7AL, UK.
Paul C ColemanWarwick Medical School, University of Warwick, Coventry, CV4 7AL, UK.
University of Birmingham · GBUniversity of Warwick · GBUniversity of Oxford · GB

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundNon-pharmaceutical interventions (NPIs), such as travel restrictions, social distancing and isolation policies, aimed at controlling the spread of COVID-19 may have reduced transmission of other endemic communicable diseases, such as measles, mumps and meningitis in England.

methodsAn interrupted time series analysis was conducted to examine whether NPIs was associated with trends in endemic communicable diseases, using weekly reported cases of seven notifiable communicable diseases (food poisoning, measles, meningitis, mumps, scarlet fever and pertussis) between 02/01/2017 to 02/01/2021 for England.

resultsFollowing the introduction of COVID-19 restrictions, there was an 81.1% (95% CI; 77.2-84.4) adjusted percentage reduction in the total number of notifiable diseases recorded per week in England. The greatest decrease was observed for measles, with a 90.5% percentage reduction (95% CI; 86.8-93.1) from 42 to 5 cases per week. The smallest decrease was observed for food poisoning, with a 56.4% (95%CI; 42.5-54.2) decrease from 191 to 83 cases per week.

conclusionsA total reduction in the incidence of endemic notifiable diseases was observed in England following the implementation of public health measures aimed at reducing transmission of SARS-COV-2 on March 23, 2020. The greatest reductions were observed in diseases most frequently observed during childhood that are transmitted via close human-to-human contact, such as measles and pertussis. A less substantive reduction was observed in reported cases of food poisoning, likely due to dining services (i.e., home deliveries and takeaways) remaining open and providing a potential route of transmission. This study provides further evidence of the effectiveness of non-pharmaceutical public health interventions in reducing the transmission of both respiratory and food-borne communicable diseases.

Indexed as

Communicable DiseasesCOVID-19Foodborne DiseasesMeaslesMumpsWhooping CoughHumansIncidenceInterrupted Time Series AnalysisSARS-CoV-2Communicable diseasesCOVID-19 restrictionsInterrupted time series analysisNon-pharmaceutical interventions

Identifiers

PMID36510205
PMCPMC9742638
OpenAlexW4311582522

What OpenQuestion holds

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LicenceCC BY
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Registered trials

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.